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新型城镇化对农业碳排放的空间效应研究

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探讨新型城镇化对农业碳排放的影响机理,引导农业绿色可持续发展,对实现"碳达峰"和"碳中和"有十分重要的现实意义.运用熵值法、空间杜宾模型,以我国2005-2021年31个省(市、区)的面板数据为基础研究新型城镇化水平对农业碳排放的空间影响效应.结果表明:新型城镇化对区域内的农业碳排放具有明显的"减碳效应";新型城镇化对邻近区域农业碳排放也具有明显的负向空间溢出效应,且间接效应大于直接效应;地区间差异明显,新型城镇化对我国农业碳排放的影响程度西部>东部>中部.据此,提出以下建议:重视空间效应,实施差异化的农业碳减排政策;构建新型城镇化和农业碳减排协调发展的政策体系;加快推动农业规模化经营和农业技术进步.
Research on the Spatial Effects of New Urbanization on Agricultural Carbon Emissions
Exploring the impact mechanism of new urbanization on agricultural carbon emissions,guiding green and sustainable development of agriculture,is of great practical significance for achieving"carbon peak"and"carbon neutrality".This article uses entropy method and spatial Durbin model to study the spatial impact of new urbanization level on agricultural carbon emissions based on panel data from 31 prov-inces(cities,districts)in China from 2005 to 2021.The results showed that:new urbanization has a significant"carbon reduction effect"on agricultural carbon emissions in the region;new urbanization also has a significant negative spatial spillover effect on agricultural carbon emis-sions in neighboring areas,and the indirect effect is greater than the direct effect;there are significant regional differences,and the impact of new urbanization on agricultural carbon emissions in China is greater in the western region than in the eastern region than in the central region.Accordingly,the following suggestions were put forward:pay attention to spatial effects and implement differentiated agricultural carbon reduc-tion policies;build a policy system for the coordinated development of new urbanization and agricultural carbon reduction;accelerate the promo-tion of large-scale agricultural management and technological progress in agriculture.

New urbanizationAgricultural carbon emission intensitySpatial spillover effectsSpatial Durbin model

喻芳玲、鲍宏礼、吴学兵

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长江大学经济与管理学院,湖北 荆州 434023

黄冈师范学院商学院,湖北 黄冈 438000

新型城镇化 农业碳排放强度 空间溢出效应 空间杜宾模型

2024

安徽农业科学
安徽省农业科学院

安徽农业科学

影响因子:0.413
ISSN:0517-6611
年,卷(期):2024.52(24)