首页|基于"PLUS-FAHP-FCE"模型的耕地布局评价方法研究——以广东河源市为例

基于"PLUS-FAHP-FCE"模型的耕地布局评价方法研究——以广东河源市为例

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[目的]丰富和完善耕地布局评价方面的研究成果.[方法]基于对实现耕地总量动态平衡、提升耕地连片度、提升耕地地力、促进可持续利用、增强耕地生态系统的抗逆性和缓冲性的需求,提出首先构建基于"目标-需求-维度-指标"耕地布局评价指标体系框架,以广东省河源市为例,通过PLUS模型法模拟河源市惯性发展、耕地保护、生态优先3种土地利用模拟情景,围绕数量、布局、质量、生态4个维度,共选取11个单项指标,构建河源市耕地布局评价指标体系,运用FAHP分析法确定各评价指标的权重,根据确定的耕地布局评价指标体系进行FCE评价,得出耕地布局效果得分.[结果]河源市在耕地保护模拟情景的FCE得分最高,表现为区域耕地空间布局进一步集聚,大部分坡度15°以下林地演变为耕地,多数坡度25°以上耕地演变为林地,且生物多样性、碳储量总体呈现下降趋势;生态保护情景的FCE得分次之,耕地空间集聚程度较耕地保护情景低,生物多样性、碳储量总体上升趋势;在河源市耕地布局指标中,数量维度与生态维度呈现负相关;耕地保护情景有效约束了建设用地扩张,生态优先情景中林地、水域(包括未利用地)等生态用地显著增加.[结论]基于"PLUS-FAHP-FCE"的耕地布局评价方法具有可行性.
Research on Cultivated Land Layout Evaluation Method Based on"PLUS-FAHP-FCE"Model—Taking Heyuan City,Guangdong Province as an Example
[Objective]In order to enrich and improve the evaluation index system for optimizing farmland layout.[Method]Based on the needs of realizing the dynamic balance of total cultivated land,improving the contiguity of cultivated land,improving the soil fertility of cultivat-ed land,promoting sustainable use,and enhancing the stress resistance and buffering of cultivated land ecosystem,this paper proposes to con-struct a framework for the construction of cultivated land layout evaluation index system based on"goal-demand-dimension-index",taking Heyuan City as an example,and simulating three land use simulation scenarios of Heyuan City,including inertial development,cultivated land protection and ecological priority,through the PLUS model method.Focusing on the four dimensions of quantity,layout,quality and ecology,a total of 11 individual indicators were selected to construct the cultivated land layout evaluation index system in Heyuan City,and the FAHP a-nalysis method was used to determine the weight of each evaluation index,and the FCE evaluation was carried out according to the determined cultivated land layout evaluation index system,and the cultivated land layout effect score was obtained.[Result]Heyuan City has the highest FCE score in the cultivated land protection simulation scenario,which shows that the spatial distribution of cultivated land in the region is fur-ther agglomeration,most of the forest land with a slope of less than 15° has evolved into cultivated land,and most of the cultivated land above 25° has evolved into forest land,and the biodiversity and carbon storage have generally shown a downward trend.The FCE score of the ecologi-cal protection scenario was the second,and the spatial agglomeration degree of cultivated land was lower than that of the cultivated land protec-tion scenario,and the overall upward trend of biodiversity and carbon storage was high.In the cultivated land layout index of Heyuan City,the quantity dimension is negatively correlated with the ecological dimension.The cultivated land protection scenario effectively constrains the ex-pansion of construction land,and the ecological land such as forest land and water area(including unused land)increases significantly in the ecological priority scenario.[Conclusion]The cultivated land layout evaluation method based on"PLUS-FAHP-FCE"is feasible.

Cultivated land layout evaluationPLUS-FAHP-FCELand useHeyuan City

王向明、郭敏、李明惠、熊侣英、朱君玉、陈颖芝

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广东精地规划科技有限公司,广东 广州 510000

仲恺农业工程学院,广东 广州 510000

广东省土地开发整治中心,广东 广州 510000

耕地布局评价 PLUS-FAHP-FCE 土地利用 河源市

2025

安徽农业科学
安徽省农业科学院

安徽农业科学

影响因子:0.413
ISSN:0517-6611
年,卷(期):2025.53(1)