Framework Construction of Agricultural Carbon Total Factor Productivity and Emission Reduction Potential Estimation in Shaoguan City Based on the Green Solow Model
This paper theoretically constructs a"green Solow model"incorporating positive and negative environmental elements including ag-ricultural carbon emissions and carbon sequestration,considering the impact and constraints of energy and resource inputs and carbon emis-sions on agricultural economic growth to mitigate environmental costs associated with agricultural economic growth.Empirical testing is conduc-ted using panel data from Shaoguan City for the period 2011-2021.The super-efficiency SBM model,incorporating non-expected output,is employed to measure the agricultural carbon total factor productivity of Shaoguan City,while the carbon emission reduction potential model is used to estimate the carbon emission reduction potential and scale of Shaoguan City.The research findings are as follows:The average agricul-tural carbon total factor productivity in Shaoguan City is 1.024,indicating an excess of agricultural carbon emissions,with scale efficiency be-ing the key constraint on the improvement of agricultural carbon total factor productivity.The carbon emission reduction potential in Shaoguan City shows an overall increasing trend despite fluctuations,with an average annual scale of 72,540 tons,indicating significant room for im-provement in agricultural carbon emission reduction.Based on these findings,it is suggested to address the shortcomings of scale efficiency and formulate practical carbon emission reduction measures to enhance the agricultural carbon total factor productivity in Shaoguan City and sustain-ably promote agricultural carbon emission reduction.
Carbon total factor productivityGreen Solow modelSBM modelEmission reduction potential