Risk assessment on public health emergencies in Anhui Province in 2025
Objective To assess the risk of various public health emergencies in Anhui Province in different months of 2025,thus to identify areas and places of priority concern,and put forward risk management suggestions to provide scientific basis for local health emergency preparedness,Methods An expert consultation form was designed,and the Delphi method was used to screen risk assessment topics.Experts from different fields were invited,and the expert consultation method was used to conduct risk analysis and risk evaluation based on risk identification.The attention levels of each assessment topic in different months were determined,and the key areas and locations were identified.The risk management recommendations were made.Results A total of 20 risk assessment topics were identified.In January,influenza,chickenpox and non-occupa-tional carbon monoxide poisoning required close attention.In February,the focus should be on COVID-19 and influenza.In March,the key concerns were COVID-19 and tuberculosis.In April,tuberculosis and severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome(SFTS)were the main focuses.In May,pertussis,hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD),SFTS and schistosomiasis needed to be closely monitored.In June,the key concerns were pertussis,cholera,HFMD,SFTS,schistosomiasis and food-borne disease outbreaks.In July,the focus should be on COVID-19,cholera,SFTS,dengue fever,schistosomiasis and food-borne disease outbreaks.In August,COVID-19,cholera,dengue fever,schistosomiasis and foodborne disease outbreaks were the main concerns.In September,the key focuses were cholera,dengue fever and schistosomiasis.In October,pertussis and schistosomiasis required close attention.In November,the focus should be on chickenpox and norovirus infection.In Decem-ber,influenza,chickenpox and norovirus infection were the main concerns.In the central region of Anhui,mountainous and hilly areas,SFTS needed to be focused,while rural areas in northern Anhui needed to focus on brucellosis.For influenza,chickenpox and HFMD,the key attention venues were kindergartens and schools.For poisoning-related events,the key atten-tion venues were households,restaurants and hotels.Conclusion Each topic has different levels of concern,key regions,and key venues in different months.
Risk assessmentPublic health emergencyEmergency disposal
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