首页|基于倾向匹配研究IL-6/IL-10比值与重症肺炎患者预后的关系

基于倾向匹配研究IL-6/IL-10比值与重症肺炎患者预后的关系

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目的 采用倾向评分匹配法(PSM)探究白介素-6(IL-6)/白介素-10(IL-10)比值与重症肺炎(SP)患者预后的关系.方法 选取2016年5月至2022年6月石家庄市人民医院收治的肺炎患者550例作为研究对象,其中SP患者450例为SP组,轻症肺炎患者100例为轻症组,并选取同期100例体检健康者为健康组.比较3组对象IL-6、IL-10水平及IL-6/IL-10比值;以同期体检健康者IL-6/IL-10比值的中位数(0.96)为界限,将SP组患者分为IL-6/IL-10低比值组(n=76)和IL-6/IL-10高比值组(n=374),比较两组SP患者临床指标及生存情况.利用倾向评分匹配法(PSM)均衡两组SP患者其他临床指标的差异,比较PSM后IL-6/IL-10低比值组(n= 75)、IL-6/IL-10高比值组(n=75)生存情况;COX回归模型分析PMS后IL-6/IL-10比值与SP患者预后的关系.结果 SP组患者血清IL-6、IL-10水平及IL-6/IL-10比值高于轻症组、健康组(P<0.05),且轻症组高于健康组(P<0.05).PSM前,IL-6/IL-10高比值组患者应用抗菌药物时间长于IL-6/IL-10低比值组,行机械通气治疗、死亡比例高于IL-6/IL-10低比值组(P<0.05);PSM后,IL-6/IL-10高比值组患者死亡比例高于IL-6/IL-10低比值组(P<0.05).IL-6/IL-10比值是SP患者预后的独立危险因素(P<0.05).结论 SP患者IL-6/IL-10比值较高,经PMS平衡混杂因素后,IL-6/IL-10比值仍是评估SP患者预后的独立危险因素.
Relationship between IL-6/IL-10 ratio and prognosis of severe pneumonia patients based on propensity score matching
Objective To explore the relationship between the ratio of interleukin-6(IL-6)/interleukin-10(IL-10)and the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia(SP)by propensity score matching(PSM).Methods A total of 550 pneumonia patients admitted to Shijia-zhuang People's Hospital from May 2016 to June 2022 were selected as the research subjects,of which 450 patients with SP were in the SP group,100 patients with mild pneumonia were in the mild group,and 100 healthy people with physical examination were regarded as the healthy group.The levels of IL-6,IL-10 and the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in the mild group,SP group and healthy group were compared,taking the median of IL-6/IL-10 ratio(0.96)of healthy subjects during physical examination as the boundary,SP patients were grouped into low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=76)and high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=374),then the clinical indicators and survival of SP patients were compared between the two groups.Propensity score matching(PSM)was used to balance the differences in other clinical indicators between the two groups of SP pa-tients,after PMS,the survival of low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=75)and high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=75)was compared;COX regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 after PMS and the prognosis of SP patients.Results The levels of serum IL-6,IL-10 and the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in the SP group were higher than those in the mild group and the healthy group(P<0.05),and those inthe mild group were higher than those in the healthy group(P<0.05).Before PSM,patients in the high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group were treated with antibiotics longer than those in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05),and the ratio of mechanical ventilation and death rate were higher than those in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05),after PSM,the death rate of patients in the high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group was higher than that in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05).The ratio of IL-6/IL-10 was an independent risk factor for the prognosis of SP patients(P<0.05).Conclusion The ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in SP patients is higher.After balancing the confounding factors by PMS,the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 is still an independent risk factor for evaluating the prognosis of SP patients.

Interleukin-6/interleukin-10 ratioPropensity score matching methodSevere pneumoniaPrognosis

张云龙、宋晓飞、骆海霞、赵辉明、曹云云、胡春利

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050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院重症医学科

050011 河北石家庄 河北省人民医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科

050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院心血管内一科

050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科

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白介素-6/白介素-10比值 倾向评分匹配法 重症肺炎 预后

石家庄市科学技术研究与发展计划项目

211201173

2024

安徽医学
安徽省医学情报研究所

安徽医学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.123
ISSN:1000-0399
年,卷(期):2024.45(1)
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