The increasing demand for grapes in the world,China as the world's largest table grape supplier,price volatility is also increasingly significant,which brings great challenges to the grape industry.In order to better grasp the fluctuation characteristics of grape market price and its influencing factors,the grape price data of China from January 2014 to October 2023 were selected,and the Census X12 seasonal change model and H-P filtering method were used to further explore the causes and possible impacts of grape price fluctuations,in order to inject new vitality into the healthy development of grape industry.The results showed that the seasonal and cyclical fluctuations of grape prices were gradually slowing down.Rising costs and increasing demand drive up the price trend;natural disasters,national policies and other factors lead to irregular fluctuations in grape prices.To this end,it was necessary to promote the stability of grape production and supply through technological progress,establish and improve the whole grape industry chain early warning mechanism,improve the characteristic agricultural insurance system,vigorously promote the integrated development of the grape industry.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
