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区域贸易协定、数字贸易规则与数字贸易出口增长

Regional Trade Agreements,Digital Trade Rules and the Rising of the Digital Export Trade

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随着区域贸易协定框架下数字贸易规则的不断发展,定量研究数字贸易规则的贸易效应亟待进行.基于2005-2019年全球40个国家(或地区)对其所有贸易伙伴双边数字贸易出口的面板数据,研究发现:首先,区域贸易协定框架下的数字贸易规则对缔约方之间数字服务贸易出口具有显著的促进作用;缔约方之间的数字基础设施差距越小、内部监管水平差距越小,出口促进效应越大;签署数字贸易规则会通过降低缔约双方之间的数字贸易壁垒促进数字服务贸易出口增长.其次,无论是贸易促进相关条款、数据相关条款,还是隐私保护条款,均体现出较强的数字服务贸易出口促进效应.再次,欧式模板和其他模板均对数字服务贸易出口表现出积极的促进作用,而美式模板则呈现出抑制效应.最后,数字贸易规则对数字货物贸易出口特别是信息与通讯技术产品出口也产生明显的促进作用.
The quantitative research on the trade effects of digital trade rules is urgently needed with the continuous development of digital trade rules under the framework of regional trade agreements.Based on the panel data of bilateral digital export trade of 40 countries(or regions)around the world to all their trading partners from 2005 to 2019,this paper has acquired the following findings.Firstly,the digital trade rules under the framework of regional trade agreements have a significantly positive impact on the digital service export trade of the contracting parties.The smaller the gap of the digital infrastructure and the regulatory level between the contracting parties,the greater the export promoting effect.Signing digital trade rules will promote the growth of digital service export trade by lowering digital trade barriers between the contracting parties.Secondly,whether it is trade-promotion-related clauses,data-related clauses,or privacy protection clauses,they all reflect a stronger promoting effect on digital service export trade.Thirdly,the European template and other templates have all shown a positive promoting effect on digital service export,while the American template has shown an inhibitory effect.Lastly,digital trade rules have also shown a significant promoting effect on the export of digital goods,especially the export of information and communication-technology products.

digital trade rulesdigital service exportdigital infrastructuredigital trade barriers

魏浩、马茂清、袁然

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北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院,北京 100875

北京市朝阳区发展与改革委员会,北京 100124

北京邮电大学经济管理学院,北京 100876

数字贸易规则 数字服务贸易出口 数字基础设施 数字贸易壁垒

国家社会科学基金重大项目

23ZDA050

2024

北京师范大学学报(社会科学版)
北京师范大学

北京师范大学学报(社会科学版)

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.592
ISSN:1002-0209
年,卷(期):2024.(4)