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城镇化如何影响体育彩票销量?——来自103个地级市的证据

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城镇化是体育彩票业繁荣发展的重要驱动力。基于2016-2020年的地级市面板数据,运用多元线性回归、工具变量等实证方法,探讨城镇化与体育彩票销售额之间的关系,并从个体收入、产业结构和财政压力3个维度对城镇化促进体彩销量增长的作用机制进行系统经验识别。研究结果发现,城镇化水平提升会显著促进体育彩票销量增长,个体收入增长、产业结构升级和财政压力加大是主要的影响机制。其中,城镇化对体育彩票销量的正向影响在经济发展条件欠佳的中西部和北方城市中更为明显。据此,提出科学制定体彩差异化营销策略、持续关注财政支出的正向影响及促进体彩业与相关产业协调发展等政策建议,助力体育彩票市场健康可持续发展。
How Does Urbanization Affect Sports Lottery Sales?——A Study Based on Data from 103 Prefecture-Level Cities in China
Urbanization is an important driving force for the prosperity and development of the sports lottery industry.Based on the panel data of prefecture-level cities from 2016 to 2020,this paper uses empirical tools such as multi-ple linear regression and instrumental variables to explore the relationship between urbanization and sports lottery sales,and to systematically identify the mechanism underlying the role of urbanization in promoting sports lottery sales growth from three dimensions:individual income growth,industrial structure upgrading,and increased finan-cial pressure.The results reveal that an increase in the urbanization level significantly contributes to the growth of sports lottery sales,with individual income growth,industrial structure upgrading and increased fiscal pressure being the main influencing factors.The positive impact of urbanization on sports lottery sales is more obvious in mid-western and northern cities with less favorable economic development conditions.Based on the results of the empiri-cal analysis,this paper proposes suggestions on policies including scientific formulation of differentiated marketing strategies for sports lottery,continuous attention to the positive impact of financial expenditures,and promotion of coordinated development of sports lottery industry and related industries,to facilitate the healthy and sustainable de-velopment of sports lottery market.

sports lotteryurbanizationindividual incomeindustrial structurefiscal pressure

白宇飞、刘文静

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北京体育大学管理学院,北京 100084

体育彩票 城镇化 个体收入 产业结构 财政压力

国家社会科学基金重点项目

19ATY008

2024

北京体育大学学报
北京体育大学

北京体育大学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.798
ISSN:1007-3612
年,卷(期):2024.47(8)
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