水资源环境约束下"流域-城市"用地布局的情景模拟方法建构
Scenario Prediction Method of Water Resource Environment and Urban Land-use Layout Across River Basins and Cities
贾梦圆 1荣玥芳 2林浩曦1
作者信息
- 1. 北京建筑大学建筑与城市规划学院城乡规划系
- 2. 北京建筑大学建筑与城市规划学院
- 折叠
摘要
以水定城是空间规划编制应遵循的基本原则,情景模拟是支持空间规划编制的重要技术方法,但当前有关水资源环境约束下城市用地布局的情景模拟研究尚缺乏对流域与城市之间关联关系的仿真表达.文章从水资源环境承载约束的视角出发,整合流域管理与空间规划相关理论,提出多维度、多尺度理论框架下的水资源环境与城市用地布局的关联机理;而后,交叉融合多学科技术方法,探讨基于水资源环境的"流域-城市"用地布局的关联模拟模型的结构框架,并提出包含模拟模型建立、模拟方案设定、模拟结果评价全过程的情景模拟技术路线.希望通过对考虑"流域-城市"关系的城市用地布局情景模拟方法的研讨,为促进城市与水系统的协调发展提供空间规划编制技术支持.
Abstract
Developing cities based on the water carrying capacity is one of the core concepts of spatial planning.Scenario prediction is an important method in the plan-making process,however,the existing modeling methods are limited to simulate the relationships between water resources and urban land-use layout across river basins and cities.First,based on the existing theories in the fields of water resource management and urban planning,this paper introduces a multi-dimension and multi-scale framework to explain the relationships between water resources and environment and urban land-use layout,and then introduce the framework of water-land integrated model.Using the model,a system of the scenario prediction method is established including the simulation model,scenario setting and the assessments for results.This paper expects to establish a scenario prediction method of basin-city relating simulation in making urban land-use layout,to provide technical supports to integrate natural resource management and spatial layout optimization in territory spatial planning system.
关键词
水资源环境/用地布局/流域/城市/情景模拟Key words
water resource and environment/land-use layout/river basin/city/scenario prediction引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金(52208040)
国家自然科学基金(42201219)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(22YJCZH066)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据