Research on the Impact of Urban Morphological Evolution Processes on Carbon Emissions from a Dynamic Perspective
Taking the city cluster in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as an example,Thtis study,focusing on the tri-angle of central China,introduces the Landscape Expansion Index (LEI) to depict the process of urban morphological evo-lution,complementing complements the analysis of its inter-nal mechanisms. Furthermore,it constructs a comprehensive index system,based on integrating spatial morphology and so-cio-economic factors,is constructed to analyze the relation-ship between urban spatial characteristics and carbon emis-sions. The findings reveal that between 2005 and 2020,the total carbon emissions in the Triangle of Central China contin-ued to rise,albeit at a decelerated pace. The morphological evolution of cities exhibits heterogeneous impacts on carbon emission growth rates. Outward-oriented urban morphologi-cal evolution is associated with a lower increase in carbon emissions,while inward-oriented evolution leads to elevated carbon emission growth rates. Moreover,diverse impacts on carbon emissions are observed across cities with different func-tions and economic levels. Notably,the resident population and total urban area demonstrate the most pronounced correla-tions with carbon emissions. Taking a dynamic perspective,this research focuses on analysis analyzing the mechanisms un-derlying the influence of fine-scale urban morphological chang-es on carbon emissions from a dynamic perspective. The study underscores that reveals that cluster-oriented urban mor-phologies are more conducive to fostering low-carbon orienta-tion and climate-responsive urban development. These find-ings provide valuable insights for urban planners and policy-makers aiming to establish sustainable urban frameworks aligned with carbon reduction objectives.
evolution of urban morphologycarbon emissionspanel data modellandscape expansion indexthe Triangle of Central China