顾及人口流动的武汉城市圈扩张模拟
Simulation of Wuhan Urban Agglomeration Expansion Considering Population Flow
刘殿锋 1李程2
作者信息
- 1. 武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,湖北 武汉,430079;自然资源部数字制图与国土信息应用工程重点实验室,湖北 武汉,430079;湖北珞珈实验室,湖北 武汉,430079
- 2. 武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,湖北 武汉,430079
- 折叠
摘要
采用社会网络分析与引力模型量化人口流动因素的影响,将其融入城市群模拟模型,并以武汉城市圈为例开展城市群扩张多情景模拟与分析.研究表明,该模型能够更好地模拟城市群扩张的空间格局;在人口流动的作用下,武汉城市圈未来建设用地扩张加快,城市群空间结构趋于紧凑,在严峻气候变化挑战下的发展稳定性有所提升.
Abstract
This paper uses social network analysis and gravity models to quantify the impact of population mobility factors,integrates them into urban agglomeration simulation models,and explores the influencing factors of land use changes and conducts multi scenario simulations based on SSPs.Research shows that this model can better simulate the spatial pattern of urban agglomeration expansion.Population flow has slightly accelerated the expansion of Wuhan urban agglomerations,making the spatial structure of urban agglomerations more compact,and improving the stability of urban agglomerations in the face of severe climate change challenges.
关键词
城市群/土地利用/FLUS模型/SSPs情景Key words
urban agglomerations/land use/future land-use simulation model/the shared socioeconomic pathways引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据