首页|联合大气角动量函数的VAR模型用于日长变化实时快速预报

联合大气角动量函数的VAR模型用于日长变化实时快速预报

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日长变化的实时快速预报具有重要的实用价值和科学研究意义,大气角动量函数的轴向分量与日长变化有强相关性,传统预报方法对日常变化的实时快速预报精度不高.经过实验分析,联合大气角动量的向量自回归模型对日长变化进行实时快速预报方法,相对于传统的预报模型,预报精度显著提高.
On the Real-time Prediction of the Variations of Length of Day by the Vector Autoregressive Model Combined with Atmospheric Angular Momentum
Real-time prediction of the variations of length of day(LOD)is of great importance in both scientific is-sues and practical applications.There is a strong correlation between the axial component of atmospheric angular momentum function and the variations of length of day.Traditional forecasting methods have low accuracy in real-time forecasting of length of day.After experimental analysis,it is found that the vector autoregressive model com-bined with atmospheric angular momentum significantly improves the accuracy of real-time forecasting of length of day compared to traditional forecasting models.

the variations of length of dayatmospheric angular momentumvector autoregressive modelreal-time predictionaccuracy improving

张昊、刘辉

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郑州郑房测绘有限责任公司,河南 郑州 450006

华北水利水电大学 测绘与地理信息学院,河南 郑州 450045

日长变化 大气角动量 向量自回归模型 实时快速预报 精度提高

2024

测绘科学技术学报
信息工程大学科研部

测绘科学技术学报

影响因子:0.594
ISSN:1673-6338
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)