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武汉市主要年气候要素及其极值变化趋势

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根据武汉市1951~2007年57年间主要气候要素及其极值的年序列(共17个),通过趋势分析和年代际比较分析,揭示武汉市气候变化对全球气候变化和当地城市化的响应.结果表明:武汉市5项气温均表现出一致的升温趋势,其中平均气温、平均最低气温、极端最低气温最明显,1970年代中后期升温速度加快;4项降水要素变化均不显著,只有年降水日数接近信度0.1的显著性,其中年降水量为弱的增加趋势,同时有明显的年代际差异,1950、1980、1990等年代明显偏大(多),年降水日数、最大日降水最为减少趋势,但暴雨日数是增加的;年平均和最小相对湿度均呈现下降趋势,但年平均相对湿度达到极显著程度;平均风速、最大和极大风速以及大风日数一致性极显著减小;日照时数表现为减少趋势;年平均气压为先升后降,上升趋势小明显.可见武汉市各项气温、风速及其极值、相对湿度、日照时数等变化显著,降水、气压变化不显著,这些变化是全球气候变暖和城市化进程共同作用的结果.
TREND OF MAIN CLIMATIC FACTORS AND ITS EXTREME VALUES IN WUHAN
Based on the 17 series of main annual climatic factors and its extreme values in Wuhan from 1951 to 2007,the features of main annual climatic factors in Wuhan responding to global climate change and local urbanization are revealed through trends analysis,decadal comparisons and cause analysis. The results are as follows: all the 5 temperature series in Wuhan show ascending trend, among which annual mean temperature, mean minimum temperature and extreme minimum temperature show obvious ascending trend and the ascending paces accelerated after the middle and late 1970's. The trends of 4 precipitation factors are not all distinct,among which only annual rainy days is near to 0.1 level of the significance with statistical test. The annual amount of rainfall shows slight ascending tendency and obvious decadal variation,and it is rather greater distinctly in 1950's, 1980's and 1990's. Annual rainy days and the maximum daily precipitation show descending trend while heavy rain day are increasing. Both of annual mean relative humidity and minimum relative humidity show descending trend,and annual mean relative humidity descends with the level of extreme significance. Annual mean wind velocity, maximum wind velocity, extreme wind velocity and days with wind of gale force all decreasd with the level of extreme significance. Annual hours of sunshine mainly show decreasing trend. Annual mean air pressure increased first and then decreased while the ascending trend was not obvious. Above all,most of annual climatic factors changed obviously while precipitation and air pressure changed slightly,which is the result of global climate change and rapid urbanization.

Wuhanmain climatic factorsextreme valuesdecadetrendclimate change

李灿、陈正洪

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中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所,湖北,武汉,430074

武汉区域气候中心,湖北,武汉,430074

武汉市 主要气候要素 极值 年代 趋势 气候变化

武汉区域气象中心科技发展基金重点项目武汉区域气象中心科技发展基金重点项目国家自然科学基金重点项目

QY-Z-200701QY-Z-20080740531004

2010

长江流域资源与环境
中国科学院资源环境科学与技术局 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心

长江流域资源与环境

CSTPCDCSSCICSCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.35
ISSN:1004-8227
年,卷(期):2010.19(1)
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