首页|1961~2010年江浙沪地区夏季高温热浪时空变化特征

1961~2010年江浙沪地区夏季高温热浪时空变化特征

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利用我国江浙沪地区26个气象站1961~2010年夏季(6~8月)逐日最高气温资料,选择导致死亡率突然增加而确定的高温热浪指标,研究了江浙沪地区高温热浪日数、频次和强度的时空分布特征.结果表明江浙沪地区是高温热浪天气的高发区,高温热浪天气存在显著的地理差异.江浙沪地区平均高温热浪日数、频次和强度随时间的变化趋势极为相似:20世纪60年代至80年代前期呈现减少(弱)趋势,80年代后期呈现增多(强)趋势.总体上看,江浙沪地区受高温热浪袭击时间越来越长,频率越来越高.近50a江浙沪地区夏季高温热浪天气呈南转的趋势.高温热浪天气受全球变暖与城市热岛效应的共同影响而逐渐加剧.
TEMPORAL-SPATIAL CHANGE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUMMER HEATWAVES IN JIANGSU-ZHEJIANG-SHANGHAI REGION DURING 1961-2010
Heatwaves are significant environmental hazard which can cause increased deaths and emergency hospital admissions,particularly among vulnerable groups such as elderly people,young children and patients with chronic diseases.As the climate change continues,the frequency,intensity,duration and extent of heatwaves are likely to increase in the future.Under the control of the subtropics high in summer,the Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region,as one of the most advanced economic and most densely populated places,has become the frequent zone of summer heatwaves in our country.Based on the summer (from June to August) daily highest temperature data of 26 meteorological stations and the indexes chosen on the significantly increase in mortality,this paper conducted a statistical analysis on the temporal-spatial distribution characteristics of days,frequency and intensity of heatwaves in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region from 1961 to 2010.The results show that Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region is a high-risk areaof heatwaves in our country,where the heatwaves weather exist significantly geographical differences.The high values of the heatwaves day numbers,frequency and intensity located in the middle and southwest of Jiangsu Province and west of Zhejiang Province.The tendencies of average heatwaves days frequency and intensity in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region are very similar.Generally,the heatwaves days,frequency and intensity showed a trend of decrease (weaken) from the 1960s to the early 1980s,and showed a trend of increase (strengthen) from the late 1980s to the first decade of this century.Overall,the days,frequency and intensity of heatwaves in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region have significantly increased and strengthened.Nearly 50 years,there showed the decline of the tendency coefficient for the heatwaves days,frequency and intensity in the middle of Jiangsu Province,which was the high-value region of the heatwaves,and showed rise of the tendency coefficient in the south of Jiangsu Province and east of Zhejiang Province,which was the low-value region of the heatwaves.So,the heatwaves weather in summer displayed a trend of gradually shifting to the south over the Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region.Heatwaves,affected by global warming and urban heat island,gradually intensified during the last 50a in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Region.The study followed should pay close attention to the heatwaves formation and change mechanism,such as the impaction of urban heat island and subtropics high on the temporal-spatial distribution of heatwaves.

Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai Regionheatwavetemporal-spatial changefrequencyintensity

李琪、苏欢、史雨涵、王连喜、吴东丽

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南京信息工程大学,江苏省农业气象重点实验室,江苏南京210044

南京信息工程大学应用气象学院,江苏南京210044

中国气象局气象探测中心,北京100081

江浙沪地区 高温热浪 时空变化 频率 强度

国家科技支撑计划

2012BAH29B03

2016

长江流域资源与环境
中国科学院资源环境科学与技术局 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心

长江流域资源与环境

CSTPCDCSSCICSCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.35
ISSN:1004-8227
年,卷(期):2016.25(3)
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