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长江中游城市群新型城镇化与生态韧性的时空适配及互动响应

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科学诊断新型城镇化与生态韧性的多维适配关系，是促进区域高质量发展、助力生态文明建设的关键一环。以长江中游城市群为考察对象，首先基于演化韧性思想，依次构建新型城镇化和生态韧性评估体系，继而从时间、空间、时空交互3个层面勾勒两者的时空适配特征，最后借助面板向量自回归模型识别两系统的互动关系。结果表明:(1)2005～2020年，研究区新型城镇化与生态韧性适配指数从2005年的极不适配(0。397)跃升为2020年的中度适配(0。736)，年均增长率为3。926％，武汉、长沙、南昌等中心城市为高值区，城市群内部协调适配的非均衡特征显著。(2)新型城镇化与生态韧性适配水平的空间关联格局呈现一定转移惰性，具有较强的路径依赖与空间锁定特征，城际空间协作强度高于空间竞争。(3)短期内新型城镇化与生态韧性互促关系显著，新型城镇化对生态韧性的促进力度强于生态韧性对新型城镇化的提升作用，较长时段内各系统自我发展的惯性更强。
Spatial-temporal Adaptation and Interactive Response of New-type Urbanization and Ecological Resilience in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River
Scientific diagnosis of the multi-dimensional adaptation relationship between new-type urbanization and ecological resilience is a key part of promoting high-quality regional development and the construction of ecological civilization.Taking the urban agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River as the study area,a new-type urbanization and ecological resilience assessment system was constructed,based on the conceptof evolutionary resilience.The spatiotemporal adaptation characteristics of the two were outlined from three aspectsof time,space and spatiotemporal interaction.The interaction relationship between the two systems was identified with the help of panel vector autoregressive model.The results showed that:① From 2005 to 2020,the new-type urbanization and ecological resilience adaptation index changed from extremely unsuitable(0.397)in 2005 to moderate adaptation(0.736)in 2020,with an average annual growth rate of 3.926％.The cities of Wuhan,Changsha,Nanchang and other central oneswere identified as high-value areas,and the unbalanced characteristics of coordinated adaptation within urban agglomerations were significant.② The spatial correlation pattern of new urbanization and ecological resilience adaptation level showed a certain shift inertness,with strong path dependence and spatial locking characteristics,and the intensity of intercity spatial cooperation was higher than that of spatial competition.③ In the short term,the relationship between new-type urbanization and ecological resilience was significant.The promotion of ecological resilience by new-type urbanization was stronger than the promotion of ecological resilience on new-type urbanization.The inertia of self-development of each system was stronger in a longer period of time.

new-type urbanizationecological resiliencespace-time adaptationinteractive responsesurban agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

贺小荣、石彩霞、彭坤杰

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湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南长沙 410081

合肥大学旅游与会展学院,安徽合肥 230301

新型城镇化 生态韧性 时空适配 互动响应 长江中游城市群

国家社会科学基金后期资助项目湖南省自然科学基金项目湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目

21FGLB07022JJ303875010002

2024

10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202404003

长江流域资源与环境
中国科学院资源环境科学与技术局 中国科学院武汉文献情报中心

长江流域资源与环境

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：1.35
ISSN：1004-8227
年,卷(期)：2024.33(4)
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