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四川省入境旅游规模差异时空演化及其成因分析

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借用位序-规模分布理论,采用标准差、变差系数、基尼系数等指标,对1997—2015年四川省21个地市州的入境旅游规模差异进行分析.通过研究发现:四川省入境旅游规模绝对差异逐年增大,相对差异各年变幅较小,集聚程度不断增强,不均衡性愈演愈烈.运用罗特卡方程进行回归分析发现:各地区旅游规模分布符合首位分布,集中发展趋势明显;入境旅游规模位序空间变化表现出3种形态:平稳发展型、波动上升型、波动下降型.最后,从旅游资源丰度、交通条件、重大事件等方面对造成区域旅游规模差异的成因进行探讨,以期为四川省旅游业向均衡发展提供理论参考.
Analysis on Disparity of Inbound Tourism Scale and its Causes in Sichuan Province
Based on the theory of rank-size distribution,using standard deviation,coefficient of variation and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index,taking 21 areas in Sichuan province for the research unit, the disparity of inbound tourism size were analyzed from 1997 to 2015.The results show that,the size of tourism development is unbalanced in the region,and with expanding absolute difference of inbound tourism,the relative difference shows little change in Sichuan province.Regression analysis by Lotka equation,inbound tourism size of Sichuan province is coordinated with rank-size characteristics,and the trend of centralized development is obvious.According to the tourism market size and rank relations,it shows three forms:steady development,fluctuating upward and downward.Finally,on the basis of the findings,the author makes analysis on the causes of the disparity of the tourism scale, such as the abundance of tourism resources,traffic location,important events,etc.

inbound tourismdisparity of tourism scaleSichuan province

袁利、孙根年

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陕西师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院,西安 710062

入境旅游 旅游规模差异 四川省

国家社会科学基金资助项目

12BJY131

2018

重庆理工大学学报
重庆理工大学

重庆理工大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.567
ISSN:1674-8425
年,卷(期):2018.32(3)
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