Risk Assessment of Bus Rapid Transit Planning and Design Phase Based on Cloud Model
As a low-cost,high-volume and short construction cycle of public transit system,the bus rapid transit has the characteristics of large project scale,involving multiple specialties,high investment quota and high project risk.The comprehensive consideration is needed in terms of funding,policy support,environmental impact and management quality to reduce the project management risks.The risk factors in the planning and design phase of rapid transit are identified by collecting the basic information,case analysis method and Delphi method,and a risk indicator system is established.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and CRITIC method are used to determine the subjective and objective weights,and the game theory is used to combine the subjective and objective weights.Finally,a cloud model is used to evaluate the risks in the planning and design phase of rapid transit.Based on the analysis of the example of rapid transit in Yanji,this model can more reasonably and scientifically determine the risks existing in the planning and design phase of the rapid transit project,and can be used as a reference for the other rapid transit projects.
bus rapid transitrisk managementcombination weightinggame theorycloud model
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
