首页|人口迁居视角下的中国人口城镇化空间格局——基于百度迁徙数据的研究

人口迁居视角下的中国人口城镇化空间格局——基于百度迁徙数据的研究

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使用百度迁徙数据测度了城镇化进程中人口迁居形成的全国人口城镇化空间格局.选取春节前、平日百度迁徙数据,以全国地市为空间单元,将春节前与平日城际出行特征进行比较,从中分离出迁居人口分布、流向,运用局部空间自相关等方法探究了空间格局特征及其作用因素.研究发现,在人口迁居视角下,我国人口城镇化形成了南北分异的空间格局.南方是城镇化进程中迁居人口流动的高值聚类区,北方是迁居人口流动的低值聚类区.LISA局部空间自相关得出了与"秦岭-淮河"线基本相符合的南北分异特征,这与我国社会经济东中西空间分布特征有明显差异.人口迁居形成的人口城镇化南北分异现象与长三角、珠三角、京津冀三大城市群的作用差异有关,也与南北方的省内城镇化进程差异有关.南方各地市的格局是由大规模的迁往三大城市群的跨省城镇化,并伴随着迁往省会城市的省内城镇化两者带动形成.北方各地市的格局是迁往三大城市群迁居的跨省城镇化、迁往省会城市的省内城镇化趋势均较弱而导致.
SPATIAL PATTERN OF CHINA'S POPULATION URBANIZATION FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF POPULATION MIGRATION:A STUDY BASED ON BAIDU MIGRATION DATA
This paper measures the spatial pattern of China's population urbanization formed by population migration in the process of urbanization by using Baidu Migration Data.Selecting Baidu Migration Data of two periods,i.e.,before the Spring Festival and ordinary days,and using prefecture-level cities as spatial units,the paper analyzes the spatial pattern characteristics and influencing factors by obtaining the distribution and migration direction of the migrant population after comparing the characteristics of intercity travel between the period before the Spring Festival and ordinary days,and using local spatial autocorrelation and other methods.It is found that China's population urbanization has formed a spatial pattern of north-south differentiation from the perspective of population migration.Southern China is the high-value clustering region for migrant population,and northern China is the low-value clustering region.The LISA(Local Indicators of Spatial Association)results show a north-south differentiation that is basically consistent with the"Qinling-Huaihe Line",which is obviously different from China's socioeconomic spatial distribution characteristics of eastern,central,and western regions.The phenomenon of north-south differentiation in population urbanization is related to the differences in the impacts of the three urban agglomerations,which are the Yangtze River Delta,the Pearl River Delta,and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,as well as the differences in the intra-provincial urbanization process between the north and south regions.The pattern of prefecture-level cities in southern China is driven by large-scale inter-provincial urbanization in which the population is migrated to the three major urban agglomerations,along with intra-provincial urbanization in which the population is migrated to provincial capital cities.The pattern of prefecture-level cities in northern China is a result of both weakened inter-provincial urbanization in which the population is migrated to the three urban agglomerations and weakened intra-provincial urbanization in which the population is migrated to provincial capital cities.

population urbanizationpopulation migrationspatial patternintercity travelBaidu Migration

钮心毅、朱艺

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同济大学建筑与城市规划学院

同济大学自然资源部国土空间智能规划技术重点实验室

中国城市规划学会城市规划新技术应用专业委员会

上海市浦东新区规划设计研究院

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人口城镇化 人口迁居 空间格局 城际出行 百度迁徙

2024

城市规划
中国城市规划学会

城市规划

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.515
ISSN:1002-1329
年,卷(期):2024.48(12)