首页|灾害冲击、普惠信贷与农业生产效率损失——金融排斥和要素挤出的中介作用

灾害冲击、普惠信贷与农业生产效率损失——金融排斥和要素挤出的中介作用

扫码查看
本文利用2015年和2019年CHFS数据,检验了灾害冲击对农业生产效率的影响及作用机制,并探讨了普惠信贷的调节作用.研究发现:第一,灾害冲击显著引致了农业生产效率损失;第二,灾害冲击通过加剧金融排斥并对资本和土地产生挤出效应,从而造成农业生产效率损失,其中,资本存在完全中介效应,而土地存在部分中介作用;但劳动退出农业部门并不会带来农业生产效率损失;第三,提高信贷可得性、扩大信贷规模和延长信贷期限等普惠信贷支持措施能够有效规避灾害冲击对农业生产带来的负向影响.
Disaster Impact,Inclusive Credit,and Loss of Agricultural Production Efficiency——The Intermediary of Financial Exclusion and Factor Crowding-out
This paper uses the data of China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)in 2015 and 2019 to examine the impact and mechanism of disaster shocks on agricultural production efficiency,and explores the moderating effect of inclusive credit.It is found that the significant impact of disasters has led to a loss of agricultural production efficiency.Secondly,the impact of disasters exacerbates financial exclusion and creates a crowding out effect on capital and land,resulting in a loss of agricultural production efficiency.Among them,capital has a complete mediating effect,while land has a partial mediating effect.However,the withdrawal of labor from the agricultural sector does not lead to a loss of agricultural pro-duction efficiency.Thirdly,inclusive credit support measures such as improving credit availability,expanding credit scale,and extending credit terms can effectively avoid the negative impact of disaster shocks on agricultural production.

disaster impactinclusive creditagricultural production efficiency

张永峰、王文蔚、赵亚雄

展开 >

中国人民银行金融研究所博士后科研流动站,北京(100000)

中国人民银行金融研究所

中国人民银行金融研究所博士后科研流动站

灾害冲击 普惠信贷 农业生产效率

国家社会科学基金项目国家资助博士后人员研究计划

17BJL081GZC20233085

2024

金融论坛
城市金融研究所 中国城市金融学会

金融论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.83
ISSN:1009-9190
年,卷(期):2024.29(6)
  • 13