首页|低运量城市轨道交通运营经济性研究——以广州市增城区云巴示范线为例

低运量城市轨道交通运营经济性研究——以广州市增城区云巴示范线为例

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近年来,大中型城市掀起建设低运量城市轨道交通热潮.相较于技术传统、应用普遍的钢轮钢轨有轨电车而言,云巴、智轨等新型低运量城市轨道交通系统制式虽然在技术层面有革新升级、在车辆及工程建设层面有降价提质,但是在运营经济性与落地可行性方面尚显不足.运营经济性作为轨道交通项目前期投资建设重要分析指标,需统筹考虑25年全周期的运营需求变化、运营成本与补贴的可持续性.以广州市增城区云巴示范线项目为例,采用系统分析与类比分析,以及定性与定量、近期与远期相结合的方法,量化测算低运量城市轨道交通线路全生命周期的运营成本及收益.针对前10年运营收入与支出不平衡问题,提出运营补贴模式以及对轨道交通场站及周边用地进行综合开发的实施建议.
Operation Economy of the Low-Volume Urban Rail Transit:a Case Study of the Sky Shuttle Dem-onstration Line in Zengcheng District,Guangzhou
In recent years,large-and medium-sized cities have embarked on the construction of low-capaci-ty urban rail transit.Compared with the traditional and common application of steel-wheeled rail trams,new low-capacity urban rail transit system standards such as Sky Shuttle and Smart Rail have undergone innovation and upgraded in technology,and have reduced prices and improved quality in vehicle and engi-neering construction.However,they are still insufficient in terms of operational economy and feasibility.As an important indicator for analyzing the pre-investment and construction of rail transit projects,the op-erational economy should be considered comprehensively,taking into account the changes in operational demand over a 25-year cycle of changes,and the sustainability of operational costs and subsidies.Taking the Sky Shuttle demonstration line project in Zengcheng District,Guangzhou as an example,this paper adopts systematic and analogy analysis,as well as qualitative and quantitative methods,and near-term and long-term methods,to quantitatively calculate the operating costs and revenues of the low-capacity urban rail transit lines over its entire life cycle.In view of the imbalance between operating income and expendi-ture in the first 10 years,the paper proposes an operating subsidy model and suggestions on the comprehen-sive development of rail transit stations and surrounding land.

low-volume urban rail transittransportation economyqualitative and quantitative analysisnear-term and long-term combination analysisSky Shuttleoperating costGuangzhou

李远安、徐士伟、贾幼帅、陈海伟

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广州市交通规划研究院有限公司,广东广州 510030

低运量城市轨道交通 交通运输经济 定性定量分析 近远期结合分析 云巴 运营成本 广州市

住房和城乡建设部研究开发项目

K22017053

2024

10.13813/j.cn11-5141/u.2024.0312

城市交通
建设部城市交通工程技术中心 中国城市规划设计研究院

城市交通

CSTPCD
影响因子：1.037
ISSN：1672-5328
年,卷(期)：2024.22(3)
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