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新型城镇化建设对城市碳平衡的政策效应与机制研究

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识别新型城镇化建设的碳减排与碳增汇双重效应,对贯彻新发展理念、助力碳中和目标的实现具有重要的理论与实践意义。选取2007-2020年中国277个城市面板数据为样本,从区域碳排放与植被碳汇的角度构造城市碳平衡指数,并借助多期DID模型实证考察新型城镇化政策对城市碳平衡的影响及其潜在机制。研究结果显示:新型城镇化政策与碳平衡之间存在显著的正相关关系,研究结果通过一系列稳健性检验。机制检验表明,新型城镇化政策通过减碳效应、节能效应、止损效应和增汇效应四条路径促进了城市碳平衡。异质性结果表明,在资源禀赋、行政等级、地理位置等因素影响下,新型城镇化政策对城市碳平衡的影响存在差异。
Identifying the dual effects of carbon reduc-tion and carbon sequestration in new urbanization has important theoretical and practical significance for implementing the new development concept and achieving carbon neutrality goals.By selecting panel data of 277 cities in China from 2007 to 2020 as samples,this study constructs an urban carbon balance index from the perspective of regional carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sinks.It empirically examines the impact and potential mechanisms of new urbanization policies on urban carbon bal-ance by using a multi period DID model.The research results are as follows:there is a significant positive correlation between the new urbanization policy and carbon balance,and the re-search results have passed a series of robustness tests;the mech-anism testing presents that the new urbanization policy promotes urban carbon balance through four paths,which are carbon re-duction effect,energy saving effect,stop loss effect,and se-questration effect;and the heterogeneity results show that there are differences in the impact of new urbanization policies on car-bon balance under factors,including resource endowment,ad-ministrative level,and geographical location.This paper pro-vides research support for realizing carbon neutrality goals through new urbanization construction.

carbon neutralitycarbon balancenew urbanization policiesmulti period DID

韩沅刚、李振涛、油建盛、董会忠

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吉林大学东北亚研究院

内蒙古大学经济管理学院

上海财经大学财经研究所

山东理工大学管理学院

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碳中和 碳平衡 新型城镇化政策 多期DID

国家社会科学基金项目山东省自然科学基金项目

19BJY085ZR2012GM020

2024

城市问题
北京市社会科学院

城市问题

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.27
ISSN:1002-2031
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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