首页|人口集聚与功能分工牢问溢出视角下城市群多中心研究

人口集聚与功能分工牢问溢出视角下城市群多中心研究

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城市群空间结构由单中心向多中心、网络化转变,城市群人口集聚与功能分工会呈现出不同的空间效应.具体而言,当城市群的空间结构处于单中心模式时,人口与功能分工的集聚效应显著;当集聚效应发挥到一定程度后,拥挤效应显现,此时,城市群人口集聚与功能分工的回馈效应不再显著.当城市群空间结构由单中心模式向多中心模式转变时,城市群人口集聚与功能分工的回馈效应和空间溢出效应均显著.利用2015年长三角、京津冀城市群的横截面数据,文章建立了空间联立方程模型,实证分析认为:京津冀城市群人口集聚与功能分工的回馈效应不显著,为单中心结构,发育水平较低;长三角城市群人口集聚与功能分工的回馈效应和溢出效应显著,为多中心结构.
Polycentricity of Urban Agglom-erations from the Perspective of Spatial Spillover Effects of Population Migration and Functional Specializa-tion
As urban agglomerations(UAs)evolve from a single-center to a multi-center and networked spatial structure,urban population migration and functional specialization can generate different spatial effects at different development stages.Specifically,urban agglomerations have a significant population agglomeration effect in terms of population and functional specialization when they have a single-center spatial structure.The crowding effect appears when the agglomeration effect reaches a certain extent.At this time,the feedback effect of population migration and functional specialization in urban agglomerations is not significant any longer.When urban agglomerations change from a single-center spatial structure to a multi-center one,population migration and functional specialization may produce not only stronger feedback effects but also pronounced spatial spillover effects.Using the cross-sectional data of the Yangtze River Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomerations in 2015,this paper establishes a spatial Simultaneous Equation Model.The empirical analysis shows that with a single-center structure and a low level of development,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration sees an insignificant feedback effect of population migration and functional specializa-tion;the Yangtze River Delta urban agglom-eration,with a multi-center spatial structure,has significant feedback and spillover effects of population migration and functional specialization.

polycentricityspatial effectsSimul-taneous Equation Modelpopulation migrationfunctional specialization

李刚

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中国宏观经济研究院博士后工作站

中国宏观经济研究院经济体制与管理研究所

城市群多中心 空间效应 空间联立方程模型 人口集聚 功能分工

2023

城市与区域规划研究

城市与区域规划研究

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2023.15(2)
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