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宏微观视角下财政货币政策协调:国际比较与研究述评

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2008年国际金融危机和2020年新冠疫情将财政货币政策协调推到世界关注的前沿.美国、欧元区、日本与中国从宏观和微观两个层面进行了大量财政货币政策协调的政策实践,比较发现:就政策目标而言,各国财政和货币当局的政策目标一致性在危机期间得到增强,为财政货币政策协调实践提供了创新空间,中国在政策目标一致性上具有明显的制度优势;就工具组合而言,美国和日本均进行了较高水平的财政货币政策协调,欧元区受制于单一货币和多元财政格局,政策协调在执行层面相对较弱,中国财政货币政策协调集中在业务交叉上;就传导机制而言,政策传导效率因各个国家的金融市场结构不同而表现不同.理论进展上,财政货币政策协调研究在宏观层面集中于政策协调、债务快速增长下"财政赤字货币化"的讨论,以及财政货币政策协调失败的风险;微观层面表现在学术界对各国微观政策实践的绩效评估.宏微观结合看,理论研究存在三个新动向,即关注财政货币政策目标的不一致性,重视财政货币政策与其他政策的组合效应,以及强调财政货币政策效果的异质性分析.最后本文从研究视角、研究内容和研究方法三个维度,展望未来财政货币政策协调研究的可能方向.
Coordination of Fiscal and Monetary Policies from Macro and Micro Perspectives:International Comparisons and Research Review
The international financial crisis in 2008 and the COVID-19 in 2020 pushed fiscal and monetary policy coordination to the forefront of the world's attention.The United States,the Eurozone,Japan,and China have conducted a large number of policy practices on fiscal and monetary policy coordination from both macro and micro levels.The comparison shows that in terms of policy objectives,the consistency of fiscal and monetary authorities in various countries has been enhanced during crises,providing innovative space for fiscal and monetary policy coordination practice.China has obvious institutional advantages in policy objective consistency.In terms of tool combinations,both the United States and Japan have achieved a high level of fiscal and monetary policy coordination.The eurozone is constrained by a single currency and a diversified fiscal pattern,and policy coordination is relatively weak at the implementation level.China's fiscal and monetary coordination is concentrated on business intersections.In terms of transmission mechanism,the efficiency of policy transmission varies among different countries due to their financial market structures.In terms of theoretical progress,research on fiscal and monetary policy coordination at the macro level focuses on policy coordination in the new macro context,the discussion of"fiscal deficit monetization"under rapid debt growth,and the risk of fiscal and monetary policy coordination failure.At the micro level,it is reflected in the academic evaluation of the performance of micro policy practices in various countries.From a macro and micro perspective,there are three new trends in theoretical research,namely,focusing on the inconsistency of fiscal and monetary policy goals,emphasizing the combination effect of fiscal and monetary policy with other policies,and emphasizing the heterogeneity analysis of fiscal and monetary policy effects.Finally,potential directions for future research on fiscal and monetary policy coordination are discussed from three dimensions:research perspective,research content,and research methods.

Fiscal PolicyMonetary PolicyPolicy CoordinationMacro and Micro Perspectives

路先锋、张明、吴雨桐

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中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院

中国社会科学院金融研究所

财政政策 货币政策 政策协调 宏微观视角

上海交通大学现代金融研究中心项目中国社科院大学研创计划

2023-KY-70

2024

财政研究
中国财政学会

财政研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.1
ISSN:1003-2878
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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