首页|基于新能源发电品质量化与负荷时序匹配的功率品质划分模型研究

基于新能源发电品质量化与负荷时序匹配的功率品质划分模型研究

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随着大规模风电、光伏接入电网,新能源消纳问题凸显.为缓解新能源消纳的困境,通过分析新能源发电功率与地区负荷的时序匹配关系,建立新能源发电功率品质划分模型,量化新能源发电功率不确定性对电网运行调控影响,进而制定能够反映新能源厂站功率不确定性规律的储能容量配置方案,以有效提升新能源消纳水平.文中提出了新能源发电功率品质划分模型,采用发电功率波动性和功率预测误差两个维度刻画新能源发电功率品质;分析新能源发电功率与电网负荷时序数据,以及预测误差数据,建立统计模型;确定与电网负荷时序匹配的发电功率曲线,建立新能源发电功率品质指标.
Research on Power Quality Segmentation Model Based on New Energy Power Generation Quality Quantification and Load Timing Matching
With the large-scale wind power and photovoltaic power connected to the power grid,the problem of new energy consumption is prominent.In order to alleviate the dilemma of new energy consumption,by analyzing the time series matching relationship between new energy power generation power and regional load,a new energy power generation power quality division model was established,and the impact of new energy power generation power uncertainty on power grid operation regulation and control was quantified,and then an energy storage capacity allocation scheme that could reflect the power uncertainty law of new energy plants and stations was formulated,so as to effectively improve the level of new energy consumption.In this paper,a power quality division model for new energy power generation is proposed.The power quality of new energy power generation is characterized by two dimensions:power fluctuation and power prediction error.Analyze the time series data of new energy power generation power and grid load,as well as the prediction error data,and establish a statistical model.Determine the generation power curve that matches the grid load timing,and establish power quality indicators for new energy power generation.

new energy consumptionpower quality divisionquality factortiming matchingquality indicators

马成廉、赵宇、宋萌清、李浩、曾繁军、尹波、刘利则、杨茂、孙黎

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现代电力系统仿真控制与绿色电能新技术教育部重点实验室(东北电力大学),吉林 吉林 132012

新能源消纳 功率品质划分 品质因子 时序匹配 品质指标

国家重点研发计划吉林省教育厅科学技术研究项目

2022YFB2403000JJKH20230117KJ

2024

东北电力大学学报
东北电力大学

东北电力大学学报

影响因子:1.157
ISSN:1005-2992
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)
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