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基于ICEEMDAN-PSO-LSTM的短期风速预测

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提出一种改进自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解与粒子群优化长短时记忆神经网络模型的短期风速预测方法.采用ICEEMDAN算法对日风速数据进行分解并计算相应边际谱,以谱相关性为依据对历史数据进行筛选;运用PSO算法优化LSTM神经网络参数,对输入数据进行ICEEMDAN分解,将所获得的多个模态分量分别用PSO-LSTM进行预测,并通过将各分量预测值叠加的方法得到风速预测结果.使用所提方法对国内某风电场风速进行预测,通过比较分析验证所提方法的有效性.
Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on ICEEMDAN-PSO-LSTM
This article proposes a short-term wind speed prediction method based on improved adaptive noise complete set empirical mode decomposition ( ICEEMDAN) and particle swarm optimization ( PSO) long and short term memory neural network ( LSTM ) models. Use ICEEMDAN algorithm to decompose daily wind speed data and calculate corresponding marginal spectra,and screen historical data based on spectral correlation;Using PSO algorithm to optimize LSTM neural network parameters,ICEEMDAN decomposition is performed on the input data,and multiple modal components obtained are predicted using PSO-LSTM. The wind speed prediction results are obtained by overlaying the predicted values of each component. Use the proposed method to predict the wind speed of a domestic wind farm,and verify the effectiveness of the proposed method through comparative analysis.

marginal spectrumlong-short-term memory networkparticle swarm optimizationwind speed prediction

于娜、武羿丞、黄大为、孔令国

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现代电力系统仿真控制与绿色电能新技术教育部重点实验室(东北电力大学),吉林 吉林132012

边际谱 长短时记忆网络 粒子群优化 风速预测

2024

东北电力大学学报
东北电力大学

东北电力大学学报

影响因子:1.157
ISSN:1005-2992
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)