基层应急能力影响因素的分层化研究——基于ISM-MICMAC模型
Hierarchical Study on the Influencing Factors of Grassroots Emergency Response Capacity Based on ISM-MICMAC Model
李慧 1滕五晓1
作者信息
- 1. 复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院,上海 200433
- 折叠
摘要
基层应急能力受复杂因素影响,厘清影响因素之间的层级关系,能够识别关键因子,为提升基层应急能力作支撑.基于德尔菲法明确基层应急能力影响因素,通过ISM模型构建影响因素结构体系,运用交叉影响矩阵相乘法进行验证分析.构建了由25个因子构成的基层应急能力影响因素体系,并基于ISM划分为9个层次和3个因素群,自下而上通过不同的作用机制影响基层应急能力;基于驱动力一依赖性数值划分出独立、联动、依赖、自治四个因素群,两者在影响性质上高度一致.应从完善顶层设计、推动基层应急工作标准化建设、加强经费投入等方面提升基层应急能力.
Abstract
It is essential to clarify the hierarchical relationship between influencing factors and be able to identify key factors to support the improvement of grassroots emergency response capacity,which is affected by complex factors.The Delphi method is adopted to determine the influencing factors of grassroots emergency capability and the ISM model is used to construct the influencing factor system.The cross-influence matrix multiplication is used for confirmatory analysis.The influencing factor system of grassroots emergency capability is constructed,which consists of 25 factors and is divided into 9 levels and 3 factor groups.The factor groups affect grassroots emergency capability through different mechanisms from bottom to top.Based on the MICMAC driving force-dependence matrix,independent factor group,linkage factor group,dependent factor group,and autonomous factor group that affect grass-roots emergency capability are obtained,which are highly consistent in the nature of influence.Accordingly,policy recommendations are made as follows:strengthening top-level design,promoting the standardization of grassroots emergency work and increasing funding.
关键词
基层/应急能力/制度环境/执行主体/解释结构模型Key words
grassroots/emergency capability/institutional environment/executive subject/interpretative structural model引用本文复制引用
基金项目
上海市科委社会发展科技攻关资助项目(22dz1203502)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据