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美国能源权力的扩张与限度

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世界能源转型和气候变化与俄乌冲突、大国战略竞争叠加,在全球层面改变了国家间权力平衡,并重塑了主要行为体之间的利益关系和行为模式.美国将能源权力与话语霸权和金融霸权相结合,构建围绕化石能源和可再生能源的盟友体系.这个体系既可以通过利诱补偿来拉拢盟友和伙伴国,也可以通过威逼威慑来遏制竞争对手和敌对国.在传统能源和可再生能源领域,美国以塑造"更加安全"的世界能源体系的名义来改变全球能源格局的权力结构,利用"全产业链"优势提升自己的地缘政治影响力.由于正向权力建立在补偿机制之上、负向权力建立在不对称相互依赖之上,美国能源权力的扩张存在奖励和惩罚两个方面的限度.面对百年未有之能源大变局,中国有必要充分挖掘自身优势,将能源转型和应对气候变化的潜力转化为世界能源和气候治理中的"结构性权力",利用清洁能源的技术优势、化石能源的市场优势提升议程设定权、规则制定权和市场议价权.
The Expansion and Limits of US Energy Power
The world's energy transition and climate change,coupled with the Russia-Ukraine conflict and power competition,have changed the balance of power among countries at the global level and reshaped the interest relationships and behavioral patterns among major actors.The US combines energy power with discourse and financial hegemony to build an alliance system around fossil and renewable energy.This system can not only win over allies and partners through inducements and compensation,but also contain competitors and hostile countries through coercion and deterrence.In the fields of traditional and renewable energy,the US is changing the power structure of the global energy landscape in the name of shaping a"more secure"world energy system,and using the advantages of the"whole industry chain"to enhance its geopolitical influence.Since positive power is based on compensation mechanisms and negative power is based on asymmetric interdependence,there are limits to the expansion of US energy power in terms of rewards and penalties.Faced with profound energy changes unseen in a century,China must fully find its own advantages,transform its potential into"structural power"in world energy and climate governance.and use the technological advantages of clean energy and the market advantages of fossil fuels to enhance agenda-setting power,rule-making power and market-bargaining power.

Energy PowerEnergy TransitionClimate ChangeGeopoliticsEnergy Security

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中国社会科学院美国研究所(北京 100007)

能源权力 能源转型 气候变化 地缘政治 能源安全

中国社会科学院美国研究所"中美战略博弈的基本轨迹"创新工程项目

2024

东北亚论坛
吉林大学

东北亚论坛

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.879
ISSN:1003-7411
年,卷(期):2024.33(1)
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