首页|基于专利视角的制氢技术成熟度分析

基于专利视角的制氢技术成熟度分析

扫码查看
为响应国家"双碳"目标,推动清洁能源的发展和利用,合理规划布局制氢技术路线,首先对专利初始数据进行处理,构建测度数据集,并基于构建的测度指标体系计算得到了技术成熟度值;其次,根据技术成熟度值拟合技术生命周期曲线,确定了每种制氢技术所处的技术生命周期阶段;最后,从技术应用广度、技术先进性、技术竞争潜力、技术影响力 4方面对技术成熟度进行了综合分析.结果表明:目前最普遍使用的煤气化制氢技术已进入衰退期,而电解水制氢技术近年来发展较快,已经进入成熟阶段,预计未来一段时间内将快速成长为主流制氢技术路线.中国应围绕技术潜力较大的制氢路线,通过渐进替代以实现制氢结构的绿色、高效,助力能源结构转型.
Maturity Analysis of Hydrogen Production Technology Based on Patent Perspective
In order to respond to the national"dual-carbon"goal,promote the development and use of clean energy,and rationally plan the layout of hydrogen production technology routes,the initial patent data were firstly processed,a measurement data set was constructed,and the value of technological maturity was calculated based on the constructed measurement index system;secondly,the technology life cycle curve was fitted according to the value of technological maturity;finally,a comprehensive analysis of technological maturity was carried out in terms of technological application breadth,technological advancement,technological competition potential,and technological influence.Secondly,the technology life cycle stage of each hydrogen production technology is determined by fitting the technology life cycle curve based on the technology maturity value;finally,the technology maturity is comprehensively analysed in terms of the breadth of technology application,technological advancement,technological competition potential and technological influence.The results showed that the most commonly used coal gasification hydrogen production technology entered a period of decline,while electrolytic water hydrogen production entered a stage of maturity in recent years with rapid technological development,and was expected to grow rapidly into a mainstream hydrogen production technology route in the coming period.China should focus on hydrogen production routes with greater technological potential and achieve a green and efficient hydrogen production structure through gradual substitution to help transform the energy structure.

Energy transitionHydrogen technologyPatent measurementTechnology life cycleTechnology maturity

朱旭敏、冯连勇、李泽

展开 >

中国石油大学(北京) 经济管理学院,北京 102249

能源转型 制氢技术 专利计量 技术生命周期 技术成熟度

国家自然科学基金项目

72274212

2024

当代化工
中国石油抚顺石化公司,中国石化抚顺石油化工研究院,沈阳市医药和化工行业联合会

当代化工

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.412
ISSN:1671-0460
年,卷(期):2024.53(7)
  • 18