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数字经济发展对产业结构转型升级的影响——基于需求端视角

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结合当前大力发展数字经济的背景,从供给和需求两个方面构建数字经济发展促进产业结构转型升级的理论框架,分析市场需求效应、城镇化效应等需求端的作用.以中国2013-2021年省级面板数据测算数字经济发展综合指数,探究数字经济发展对产业结构转型升级的影响并检验需求端的作用机制.研究结果表明:(1)数字经济发展显著促进了产业间、产业内的结构转型升级,选取1987年各省份邮政营业网点数的历史数据作为工具变量处理内生性问题后,基本结论不变;(2)数字经济发展在需求端主要通过人均收入效应、市场化程度效应和城镇化效应三种机制促进产业结构转型升级;(3)数字经济发展对产业结构转型升级的影响存在显著的行业间和区域经济发展程度的异质性.因此,应充分发挥区域之间的比较优势,继续加大新型基础设施和通信技术的投资力度,实施动态化、差异化的数字经济发展战略.
The Digital Economy and China's Structural Transformation——A Demand-side Perspective
In recent years,China's economy has been undergoing a transformation from high-speed growth to high-quality development,with a deepening structural transformation aligned with the goal of building a modernized economic system.Despite following Kuznets'law,China's structural transformation lags behind,and traditional factor-driven economic structure bottlenecks are becoming more apparent.Simultaneously,the digital economy has emerged as a key force globally,restructuring factor resources,reshaping the economic landscape,and altering the global competition paradigm.Its development serves as a new impetus for structural transformation.On the supply side,the digital economy promotes structural transformation by influencing the rate of technological progress between sectors.On the demand side,the digital economy promotes structural transformation by influencing the income elasticity of demand for products.However,there is a dearth of literature analyzing its impact on the demand side,particularly on the mechanism of structural transformation.This paper analyses how the digital economy development promotes structural transformation from the perspectives of technology and preference,especially adopting a demand-side perspective,elucidates the theoretical logic wherein digital economy development enhances market demand,subsequently promoting China's structural transformation.Utilizing China's provincial panel data from 2013-2021,the paper measures the level of digital economy development and empirically analyzes its impact on structural transformation using a fixed-effects model.The findings indicate that digital economy development significantly promotes both inter-industry and intra-industry structural transformation.Moreover,it influences structural transformation through channels that raise per capita income levels,increase degree of marketization and raise urbanization levels.Furthermore,there exists inter-industry and regional heterogeneity in the impact of digital economy development on structural transformation.In comparison with existing literature,this paper extends the research field in three key aspects.First,it introduces the role mechanism of market demand and urbanization effects from the demand level,expanding the study field of digital economy and structural transformation.Second,it clarifies structural transformation connotations from both inter-industry and intra-industry perspectives,providing evidence on how the development of digital economy promotes structural transformation.Third,it empirically examines the mechanisms of the per capita income effect,the degree of marketization effect and the urbanization effect,contributing to the empirical literature and offering insights at the policy level.The research reveals the mechanism by which digital economy development sustains structural transformation from the demand side.In formulating industrial development policies,departments should focus on the demand-pulling effect,leverage regional comparative advantages,increase investment in new infrastructure and communication technologies,and implement dynamic,differentiated digital economy development strategies.

digital economystructural transformationper capita incomedegree of marketizationurbanization

刘国武、李君华

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广州大学 经济与统计学院,广东广州 510006

数字经济 产业结构转型 人均收入 市场化程度 城镇化

国家社会科学基金重点项目

20AJL015

2024

当代经济科学
西安交通大学

当代经济科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.213
ISSN:1002-2848
年,卷(期):2024.46(1)
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