首页|量化交易、投资者情绪与市场波动——基于东方财富股吧贴文的情感分析

量化交易、投资者情绪与市场波动——基于东方财富股吧贴文的情感分析

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随着我国资本市场的逐步完善和成熟,市场参与者对于高效、科学的投资方法需求日益增长,为量化交易提供了广阔的发展空间.为了更好地了解量化交易对证券市场的影响,从量化交易对投资者情绪与市场波动影响的角度进行研究,以期为我国资本市场的稳健发展和投资者综合素质的提高提供理论指导.基于量化交易、投资者情绪及市场波动的理论逻辑,运用事件研究法、最优标度回归,分析2023年1月至9月量化交易相关数据.研究结果表明,量化交易对股票市场具有显著影响;量化交易存在一定程度的"砸盘"效应,投资者对该现象存在不理性行为;不同量化交易策略之间存在显著的效应差异;把事件个股按照可否进行融资融券区分,得出量化交易的影响也存在显著差异.据此,提出通过加大监管力度、增强量化公司风险管理能力和提高投资者综合素质的相关建议,稳定量化交易对证券市场的冲击,维护投资者利益.
Quantitative Trading,Investor Sentiment,and Market Volatility——An Emotional Analysis Based on Posts in the East Money Stock Forum
With the gradual improvement and maturation of China's capital market,there is a growing demand among market participants for efficient and scientific in-vestment methods,providing a broad space for the development of quantitative trading.In order to better understand the impact of quantitative trading on the secu-rities market,this paper studies the effects of quantitative trading on investor senti-ment and market volatility,with the aim of providing theoretical guidance for the steady development of China's capital market and the enhancement of investors'o-verall quality.Based on the theoretical logic of quantitative trading,investor senti-ment,and market volatility,this paper analyzes the relevant data of quantitative trading from January to September 2023 by using the event research method.The results of the study show that quantitative trading has a significant impact on the stock market.Quantitative trading has a certain degree of"smashing"effect,which in turn leads to investors'irrational behavior.There exist significant differences be-tween effects on different quantitative trading strategies.And significant differences in the impacts of quantitative trading are revealed according to whether the event stocks can be margined or not.Accordingly,this paper puts forward relevant sug-gestions for stabilizing the impact of quantitative trading on the securities market and safeguarding the interests of investors by strengthening supervision,enhancing the risk management capabilities of quantitative companies and improving the over-all quality of investors.

Quantitative TradingInvestor SentimentMarket Volatility

邹新阳、王寄帆

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西南大学经济管理学院,重庆 400715

西南大学智能金融与数字经济研究院,重庆 400715

量化交易 投资者情绪 市场波动

国家社会科学基金一般项目教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目

21BGL16219YJA790129

2024

当代金融研究
中国人民银行重庆营业管理部,西南大学,重庆日报报业集团

当代金融研究

ISSN:2096-4153
年,卷(期):2024.7(7)