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新质生产力、数字普惠金融与制造业出口技术复杂度

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技术复杂度在制造业出口领域的体现,可综合理解为出口产品质量、技术含量及其生产效率的集成反映.随着中国对外开放程度的持续扩大,制造业出口额显著增长,但出口技术复杂度仍低于世界平均水平.新质生产力作为一种新的经济发展动能,通过技术的根本性革新、生产要素的创新配置以及产业结构的深层次转型与升级,进而可以提升制造业出口产品的技术复杂度.基于2010-2022年中国30个省份的面板数据展开实证分析,探究新质生产力对制造业出口技术复杂度的效应,以及数字普惠金融的潜在作用机理,并探讨其区域和行业异质性.研究表明新质生产力显著提升制造业出口技术复杂度,该结论在经过诸多稳健性检验后依旧成立;作用机制检验发现,新质生产力通过数字普惠金融水平促进制造业出口技术复杂度提升;异质性分析表明在东中部地区以及高技术制造业行业,新质生产力对出口技术复杂度的推动作用更强.
New Quality Productivity,Digital Financial Inclusion and Technical Complexity of Manufacturing Exports
The embodiment of technical complexity in the field of manufacturing ex-port can be comprehensively understood as the integrated reflection of export prod-uct quality,technical content and production efficiency.With the continuous expan-sion of China's opening up to the outside world,the export volume of manufactur-ing has increased significantly,but the technical complexity of exports is still lower than the world average.As a new driving force of economic development,the new quality productivity can improve the technical complexity of manufacturing export products through the fundamental innovation of technology,the innovative alloca-tion of production factors,and the in-depth transformation and upgrading process of industrial structure.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2022,this paper explores the effect of new quality productivity on the technical complexity of manufacturing exports,the potential mechanism of digital financial inclusion,and explores its regional and industrial heterogeneity.The results show that the new quality productivity significantly improves the technical complexity of manufacturing exports,and this conclusion is still valid after many robustness tests.The mechanism test shows that the new quality productivity promotes the im-provement of the technical complexity of manufacturing exports through the level of digital inclusive finance.Heterogeneity analysis shows that in the eastern and central regions and high-tech manufacturing industries,the new quality productivity has a stronger role in promoting the technical complexity of exports.

New Quality ProductivityDigital Financial InclusionManufacturingExport Technology ComplexityHeterogeneity Analysis

郑思萍、毛亮

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深圳大学经济学院,广东深圳 518000

新质生产力 数字普惠金融 制造业 出口技术复杂度 异质性分析

2024

当代金融研究
中国人民银行重庆营业管理部,西南大学,重庆日报报业集团

当代金融研究

ISSN:2096-4153
年,卷(期):2024.7(8)