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俄乌"断气"对全球能源市场的影响分析及应对建议

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2025年伊始,乌克兰与俄罗斯之间天然气过境输送协议到期,乌克兰决定不再续签,正式停止俄罗斯天然气过境(简称俄乌"断气").这一决定标志着欧洲俄气时代的终结,短期内,俄乌两国将遭受严重的经济损失,欧盟成员国也将受到能源短缺压力,而美国则不仅能够增加对欧洲的液化天然气出口,还将加强对欧洲能源市场的控制.长期看,此事件会推动全球能源多元化发展和绿色转型,深刻影响未来全球能源格局与地缘政治态势.
The Impact and Countermeasures of Russian-Ukrainian"Gas Cut Off"on the Global Energy Market
At the beginning of 2025,the agreement between Ukraine and Russia for the transit of natural gas expired,and Ukraine decided not to renew it,officially halting the transit of Russian natural gas(Russia-Ukraine"gas cut-off").This decision marks the end of the era of Russian gas in Europe.In the short term,both Ukraine and Russia will suffer significant economic losses,EU will face pressure from energy shortages,while the United States will not only be able to increase its LNG exports to Europe but will also strengthen its control over the European energy market.In the long run,this event will promote the diversified development and green transformation of global energy,profoundly impacting the future global energy landscape and geopolitical situation.

Russia-Ukraine"gas cut-off"global energy landscapegeopolitics

刘满平

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国家发展和改革委员会价格监测中心,北京 100837

俄乌"断气" 全球能源格局 地缘政治

2025

当代石油石化
中国石化集团公司经济技术研究院

当代石油石化

影响因子:0.288
ISSN:1009-6809
年,卷(期):2025.33(1)