我国石化产业碳达峰碳中和路线图情景研究
Scenario Study on Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Roadmap in China's Petrochemical Industry
赵祺1
作者信息
- 1. 中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,中国石化咨询有限责任公司,北京 100029
- 折叠
摘要
我国石化产业是国民经济的重要支柱之一,未来仍肩负为相关产业发展提供基础支撑的重任.基于"双碳"目标挑战,对石化产业未来规模作出研判,采用自主研发的碳减排路径模型(CRPM)得到石化产业基准情景碳排放.对影响碳达峰碳中和的关键技术路径作出绿色发展、协调发展与保守发展的情景研判,采用模型测算得到不同情景下石化产业碳达峰碳中和技术路线图,从而对不同阶段的产业发展重点作出展望.
Abstract
China's petrochemical industry is an important pillar industry of the national economy.In the future,it will continue to provide basic support for the development of related industries.Based on the"dual carbon"goals,this paper made a judgment on the future scale of petrochemical industry,and used the self-developed carbon reduction path model(CRPM)model to calculate the carbon emissions of petrochemical industry under the baseline scenario.The key technological paths affecting carbon peaking and carbon neutrality are analyzed in the scenarios of green development,coordinated development and conservative development.The CRPM model is used to obtain the technology roadmap of the petrochemical industry under different scenarios so as to forecast the industrial development priorities at different stages.
关键词
石化产业/碳达峰碳中和/情景研究/产能优化/电气化/碳捕集、利用与封存Key words
petrochemical industry/carbon peaking and carbon neutrality/scenario study/capacity optimization/electrification/CCUS引用本文复制引用
出版年
2025
NETL
NSTL
万方数据