首页|东亚民众眼中的中国:中美二元竞争的微观检验

东亚民众眼中的中国:中美二元竞争的微观检验

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近年来,随着美国在亚太地区的战略布局调整,中美竞争在东亚地区已经成为定势.在此背景下,东亚民众如何看待 日益崛起的中国?"亚洲晴雨表"项目在2010~2020年间实施的民意调查为动态检验东亚民众眼中的中国提供了充沛的数据.对三轮调查数据的动态分析表明,这十年间,中国在东亚地区的影响力总体而言稳步上升,但是民众对此的评价却略趋消极,这体现出东亚民众对中国在东亚地区影响力的关注与担忧.从微观心理层面看,如果民众在政治认知和文化价值观上与中国主流观念的差异加大,则他们对中国的地区影响力的关注更高,评价亦更消极.从宏观国际环境层面看,特朗普就任美国总统及其推出的"印太战略"对东亚地区格局产生了巨大冲击,各国民众对中国影响力的态度也产生了分化.理解影响中国地区影响力的因素,对中国准确把握地区局势发展,在中美竞争背景下进一步扩大自身国际影响力、提高国际形象有着重要的意义.
China in the View of East Asians:The Micro Examination of Sino-U.S.Competition
In recent years,with the adjustment of the United States'strategic layout in the Asia-Pacific region,Sino-U.S.competition has become a prevailing trend in East Asia.Against this backdrop,how do East Asian perceive the rising China?The Asian Barometer Survey project conducted opinion surveys from 2010 to 2020,providing ample data to dynamically examine the East Asians'attitudes towards China.Dynamic analysis of three rounds of survey data indicates that over ten years,in general,China's influence in the East Asian region has steadily increased.However,public evaluations of this trend have been somewhat negative,reflecting the concerns and apprehensions of East Asian populations.From a micro psychological perspective,the more differences between the political cognition and cultural values of the people and the Chinese mainstream values,the more attention to China's regional influence will be attached,and their evaluations become more negative.From a macro perspective,the assumption of office by Donald Trump and the introduction of the"Indo-Pacific strategy"have had a significant impact on the regional landscape of East Asia,leading to divergent attitudes among the populations of various countries towards China's influence.Understanding the factors affecting China's regional influence is of vital importance for China to accurately grasp the regional situation,further expand its international influence,and enhance its international image in the context of Sino-American competition.

East AsiansSino-U.S.CompetitionChina's InfluencePublic Opinion

刘天祥

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中国人民大学国际关系学院

东亚民众 中美竞争 中国影响力 民意

中国人民大学亚洲研究中心

22YYA08

2024

当代亚太
中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院,中国亚洲太平洋学会

当代亚太

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.685
ISSN:1007-161X
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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