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为何俄乌冲突中的阴谋论叙事层出不穷?

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战略叙事历来是主权国家关注的焦点.一般而言,一国为实现既定目标,其战略叙事应以充足事实为依据,但我们也会发现,国际关系尤其是大国关系中还存在另一种以阴谋论为核心的战略叙事方式,此类叙事方式曾在美苏冷战时期大肆盛行.当前,大国竞争背景下,阴谋论叙事死灰复燃,特别是俄乌冲突中,阴谋论叙事大量出现,不仅使俄乌冲突在"信息迷雾"中绵延至今,更动摇国际信任机制,加剧了国际社会对立.阴谋论叙事的作用机理体现为何?为何俄乌冲突中的阴谋论叙事层出不穷?现阶段学界对这一现象的专门研究还相对有限,为此,文章尝试从叙事场景和角色等角度进行了梳理,认为阴谋论叙事是一种独特的战略叙事策略,指重大国际突发事件发生后,"揭露者"运用阴谋论这一不合理的要素组织方式,通过影响"观众"的主观认知来实现打击"坏人"的既定目标,阴谋论叙事之所以会在特定历史阶段大量涌现,有着多重诱因.同时,文章对俄乌冲突中的阴谋论叙事进行了案例分析,并对阴谋论叙事的战略限度及应对策略提出了建议.该研究有助于加强学界对阴谋论叙事现象的理解,也对中国有效应对阴谋论叙事具有现实参考意义.
Why Do Conspiracy Theories Abound in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict?
In the current context of great power competition,strategic narratives based on conspiracy theories have made a resurgence.This is particularly the case in the Russia-Ukraine conflict,where conspiracy theories abound,not only prolonging the conflict amidst an"information fog,"but also undermining international trust and exacerbating divisions within the international community.What are the mechanisms driving conspiracy theories vis-à-vis strategic narratives?Why do conspiracy theories abound around the Russia-Ukraine conflict?Existing specialized literature on this topic is relatively limited.This article attempts to fill this gap by analyzing this phenomenon from the vantagepoint of narrative settings and roles.It argues that conspiracy theory narratives are a unique form of narrative strategy.Following the outbreak of a major international event,an"exposer"will use conspiracy theories as a form of irrational narration to influence the subjective cognition of an"audience,"and thereby achieve a premeditated goal of targeting a so-called"bad actor."It finds that there are many different reasons why conspiracy theories are common during extraordinary historical periods.The article goes on to offer a case study of conspiracy theory narratives in the Russia-Ukraine conflict,proposing recommendations in response to the strategic limitations generated by conspiracy theories,as well as relevant countermeasures.

Conspiracy TheoryStrategic NarrativeSocial-PsychologyGreat State CompetitionRussia-Ukraine Conflict

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对外经济贸易大学国际关系学院

对外经济贸易大学国家安全计算实验室

阴谋论 战略叙事 社会心理 大国竞争 俄乌冲突

国家社会科学基金青年项目(2022)教育部重点研究基地重大项目

22CKS03922JJD810034

2024

当代亚太
中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院,中国亚洲太平洋学会

当代亚太

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.685
ISSN:1007-161X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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