首页|基于Anusplin和小波分析的河北省不同地形区降水量时空变化特征研究

基于Anusplin和小波分析的河北省不同地形区降水量时空变化特征研究

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本文利用河北省 124 个代表性气象站 1961-2014 年的逐日降水资料,运用 Anusplin插值法、Maan-Kendall检验与小波分析方法,定量解析冀南、冀北、冀东北不同地形区降水量的时空变化特征.结果表明,近60a来河北省降水量变化速率并不同步,其气候倾斜斜率分别为冀东北(-1.95 mm/a)<冀南(-0.71 mm/a)<冀北(0.35 mm/a),但不显著(P>0.05).河北三地降水变化发生多次突变,且未通过5%置信度检测.河北三大地形区均存在 32a的变化主周期,但次周期略有差异.本文的研究结果对于石家庄地区的气候变化预测和水资源管理具有一定的参考价值.
A study on spatial and temporal variation characteristics of precipitation in different topographic regions of Hebei Province based on Anusplin and wavelet analysis
In this paper,the daily precipitation data of 124 representative meteorological stations in Hebei Province from 1961 to 2014 are used to quantitatively analyze the spatial and temporal characteristics of precipitation in different terrain areas of Ji'nan,Ji'nan and Ji'nan-east by using Anusplin interpolation method,MaanKendall test and wavelet analysis method.The results show that the rate of precipitation change in Hebei Province over the past 60 years is not synchronized,and its climatic tilt slopes are Northeast Hebei(-1.95 mm/a)<South Hebei(-0.71 mm/a)<North Hebei(0.35 mm/a),respec-tively,but are not significant(P>0.05).Multiple abrupt changes in precipitation variability occurred in the three Hebei re-gions and did not pass the 5%confidence test.All three major topographic regions of Hebei have a 32a primary cycle of change,but the secondary cycle is slightly different.The results of this paper are useful for climate change prediction and wa-ter resource management in Shijiazhuang area.

Anusplin interpolationMaanKendall testwavelet analysisprecipitation

泽旺曲邓

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河北省保定水文勘测研究中心,河北保定 071000

Anusplin插值法 MaanKendall检验 小波分析 降水量

2024

地下水
陕西省水工程勘察规划研究院 全国地下水信息网 陕西省水利学会

地下水

影响因子:0.219
ISSN:1004-1184
年,卷(期):2024.46(2)
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