基于大地形变测量的中国大陆中长期强震危险区研究
Intermediate to Long-term Estimation of Strong Earthquake Risk Areas in Mainland China based on Geodetic Measurements
张晶 1祝意青 2武艳强 1张希 2杨国华3
作者信息
- 1. 中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京100036
- 2. 中国地震局第二监测中心,陕西西安710000
- 3. 中国地震局第一监测中心,天津300180
- 折叠
摘要
应用GPS、水准、重力和跨断层形变观测资料,在以往研究成果的基础上,分析中国大陆现今地壳形变场、重力场变化形态,分析主要活动断裂带应变积累状态,识别强闭锁、高应变积累段,结合大震对区域应变积累的影响,估计未来10年尺度中国大陆地区可能发生大地震的危险区域.
Abstract
Based on previous research results,the present-day crustal deformation and gravity field in mainland China are analyzed using the data of GPS,leveling,gravity and cross-fault deformation.We analyzed strain accumulation on the major faults,and identifed locked or high strain accumulation segments.Combining the effects of large earthquakes on the study area,the long-term (10 years) probability of large earthquakes in mainland China are estimated.
关键词
强震危险区/地壳形变/中长期预测/中国大陆Key words
Estimation of earthquake risk areas/Geodetic measurement/Mainland China引用本文复制引用
出版年
2018
NETL
NSTL
维普
万方数据