交通工程2025,Vol.25Issue(1) :38-44.DOI:10.13986/j.cnki.jote.2025.01.006

网约车对传统出租车使用量的影响——基于广东城市的实证分析

The impact of Ride-Hailing on Ridership of Traditional Taxis:An Empirical Analysis Based on Cities in Guangdong

谭伟 钟军
交通工程2025,Vol.25Issue(1) :38-44.DOI:10.13986/j.cnki.jote.2025.01.006

网约车对传统出租车使用量的影响——基于广东城市的实证分析

The impact of Ride-Hailing on Ridership of Traditional Taxis:An Empirical Analysis Based on Cities in Guangdong

谭伟 1钟军2
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作者信息

  • 1. 湖南工业大学 经济与管理学院,湖南 株洲 412007;浙江仙居制药销售有限公司,浙江 台州 317300
  • 2. 湖南工业大学 经济与管理学院,湖南 株洲 412007
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摘要

基于广东省21 个城市的样本,收集2010-2016 年平衡面板数据,采用连续型双重差分法(连续型DID),探究网约车与传统出租车使用量之间的因果关系,并进行一系列稳健性检验.研究结果表明:①网约车会对传统出租车使用量产生显著的负向影响;②进一步的分析表明这种负向影响在"珠三角地区"城市中更为严重.此结果表明网约车对城市传统出租车使用量的影响在"珠三角地区"和非"珠三角地区"存在异质性.以上结果表明:在广东城市中需要展开网约车治理,在"珠三角地区"城市中显得更为迫切;传统出租车经营者很有必要做出改革、创新以寻求行业的长远发展.

Abstract

Based on a sample of 21 cities in Guangdong Province,collect balanced panel data from 2010 to 2016,and uses continuous difference-in-differences method(continuous DID)to explore the cause and effect of ride-hailing on the ridership of traditional taxis,and conducts a series of robustness test.The research results show that:①Ride-hailing has a significant negative impact on the ridership of traditional taxis;②Further analysis shows that this negative impact is more serious in the"Pearl River Delta Region"cities.This result indicates that the impact of ride-hailing on the ridership of traditional taxis in the city is heterogeneous in the"Pearl River Delta Region"and non-"Pearl River Delta Region".The above results show that in Guangdong cities,it is necessary to carry out ride-hailing governance,and this kind of governance is more urgent in cities in the"Pearl River Delta Region";Traditional taxi operators need to make reforms and innovations to seeking long-term development of the industry.

关键词

网约车/双重差分法/出租车

Key words

ride-hailing/difference-in-differences method/taxi

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出版年

2025
交通工程
北京交通工程学会

交通工程

ISSN:2096-3432
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