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基于多源数据的福州地铁车站高峰客流预测研究

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为提高地铁车站高峰客流预测精度,基于多源数据和统计学规律,分析了地铁车站高峰时段乘客进站特性,以此建立人岗比—高峰小时流量—超高峰小时系数三维模型和人口—岗位—高峰小时偏差系数三维模型.以福建省福州市目前已开通运营的站点为研究对象,分析其AFC数据,获取乘客进站和换乘信息,结合站点周边不同用地性质,对影响因素和关键参数进行研究,建立超高峰小时系数模型和高峰小时偏差系数模型.
Research on Peak Passenger Flow Forecasting at Fuzhou Metro Stations Based on Multi-source Data
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of peak passenger flow in subway stations,based on multi-source data and statistical rules,the characteristics of passengers entering the subway station during peak hours were analyzed,and the three-dimensional model of the person-to-post ratio-peak hourly flow-over-peak hour coefficient and the three-dimensional model of population-post-peak hour deviation coefficient were established.Taking the stations that have been opened and operating in Fuzhou City,Fujian Province as the research object,the AFC data were analyzed,the passenger entry and transfer information was obtained,and the influencing factors and key parameters were studied according to the different land use properties around the stations,and the ultra-peak hour coefficient model and peak hour deviation coefficient model were established.

passenger flow forecastingpeak hour coefficientpeak deviation coefficient

苏灿航、徐旺兴

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福州轨道交通设计院有限公司,福州 350004

客流预测 超高峰小时系数 高峰偏差系数

2025

交通工程
北京交通工程学会

交通工程

ISSN:2096-3432
年,卷(期):2025.25(1)