首页|吉林省冬季冷事件及其变化研究

吉林省冬季冷事件及其变化研究

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利用1961-2005年吉林省15个气象站冬季的逐日平均气温资料,利用寒潮标准和定义的k指数,研究了吉林省冬季的冷事件,分析了45 a来吉林省冬季冷事件次数和强度及其年际、年代际变化规律.结果表明,45 a来,吉林省冷事件次数有明显减少的趋势,其中,20世纪60年代至90年代,冷事件次数呈现逐渐减少的年代际变化,2000年后冷事件次数又开始增加;冷冬期(1961~1986年),冷事件次数在减少,暖冬期(1987~2005年),冷事件次数在增加;45 a来,吉林省冷事件强度没有明显的变化趋势.冷冬期,冷空气活动频繁,但冷空气势力并不强;暖冬期,冷空气活动次数明显减少,但冷空气势力强于冷冬期,而且暖冬期间会出现更极端的冷事件.东亚冬季风的年代际变化规律与冬季气温和冷事件次数的变化规律一致.
Cold Events in Winter and Their Change in Jilin Province
Using mean daily air temperature in winter of 15 stations in Jilin province from 1961 to 2005, the occurrence numbers and intensity of cold events and their interannual and interdecadal changes in Jilin province were studied with the standard of cold wave and k index defined by this paper. The results showed that there was a decrease trend of cold events in Jilin province in 45 years; there was an interdacadal change of decrease of cold event numbers from 1960s to 1990s, and the number of cold event increased since 2000; during the period of cold winter (1961 to 1986), the number of cold event decreased, during the period of warm winter (1987 to 2005 ) , the number of cold event increased; there was not a clear trend of cold event intensity in 45 years. Interdecadal change of East Asian Winter Monsoon was consistent with air temperature in winter and the number of cold event.

warm wintercold eventchange

刘玉英、石大明

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中高纬度环流系统与东亚季风研究开放实验室,吉林,长春,130062

吉林省气象科学研究所,吉林,长春,130062

吉林省气象科学研究所吉林省气候中心,吉林,长春,130062

吉林省气候中心,吉林,长春,130062

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暖冬 冷事件 变化

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金中国气象局科技攻关项目

4027501940575047CMATG2007M28

2007

地理科学
中国科学院 东北地理与农业生态研究所

地理科学

CSTPCDCSCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.117
ISSN:1000-0690
年,卷(期):2007.27(z1)
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