Spatial-temporal correlation effect of urban tourism in Northwest China:Based on the observation of the supply of high-level scenic spot
Cities and high-level scenic spots in Northwest China are regarded as complex systems.In this art-icle,we construct a spatially dynamic panel data model and a heterogeneous spatial autoregressive model.By time and space dimensions,"change"is taken as the clue to examine the time-varying characteristics of the high-level scenic spot spillover effect,and"link"is taken as the clue to reveal the urban tourism spillover ef-fect,the urban tourism time lag effect,and the spatial-temporal lag effect under the scenic spot correlation,and the heterogeneity of the spatial-temporal correlation of urban tourism is fully considered.This paper responds to two fundamental questions:How to relate the supply of high-level scenic spots to the tourism development of the city where they are located and the neighboring cities,and what kind of temporal and spatial correlation characteristics exist in the tourism development of the neighboring cities.The results indicate that:1)There are significant positive spatial spillovers in neighboring cities in Northwest China.Tourism cooperation should be a core strategy for regional tourism development.2)In the short term,the increase of high-level scenic spots contributes to the increase of local tourism,but it has a"siphon effect"on neighboring cities.In the long term,it has a positive impact on the local area and neighboring cities,but it has a greater impact on local tourism.3)The combined supply of high-level scenic spots is the sufficient condition to improve the urban tourism ef-fect and generate the"siphon effect"on neighboring cities in Northwest China,but only relying on 5A scenic spots to drive the effect is limited.PGDP growth and industrial restructuring contribute to tourism develop-ment in local and neighboring cities in the short term,while in the long term,an increase in local PGDP will lead to a decrease in tourist arrivals in neighboring cities.4)The spatial and temporal correlation effects of tourism in cities in Northwest China are heterogeneous.84.31％of the cities have spatial cooperation relations with neighboring cities,and the cities with spatial competition relations are mainly located in the northern part of Xinjiang and the eastern part of Northwest China.PGDP and the density of high-level scenic spots are the main influencing factors.5)The steady distribution of cities in Northwest China's tourism development is char-acterized by scatter and randomness.Cities with economic advantages are more likely to benefit from tourism cooperation and grow into regional tourism growth poles.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
