首页|洪灾情景下食品类物资供需分配及配送路径优化——以上海市奉贤区为例

洪灾情景下食品类物资供需分配及配送路径优化——以上海市奉贤区为例

扫码查看
应急物资的供需分配和物流优化是应急物资管理决策中的重要支撑.本文基于最优供需分配模型,构建了基于供需分析的物资供应点分配方法.该方法考虑了市场储备点需同时对受灾需求点和原有需求点进行保障性物资供给的约束条件,相比传统方法能进一步提高物资供需分析的合理性与准确性.在物资供应点分配的基础上,构建了洪灾情景下的应急物资配送路径优化方法.该方法基于真实道路网络,利用"度""方形集聚系数"及"道路设计日交通量"评估路段可靠性,并充分考虑洪涝灾害对道路通行时间的影响,以"路径行程时间最短"和"路径可靠性最高"为目标,采用启发式算法进行最优路径的求解.以上海市奉贤区为研究区开展案例研究.通过市场与政府协同供应的多种方案情景的对比分析,发现G方案(政府全供应)配送经历时间久、总花费时间成本多,可能导致应急救援任务超时,S方案(市场全供应)配送效率低,易导致人力、运力资源浪费,而S1500方案(由市场供应1 500 m覆盖范围内的避难场所,由政府供应剩余的避难场所)则是同时适合案例中2种洪灾情景下3类物资(饮用水、大米、婴儿奶粉)的协同供应方案.该研究结果可为研究区相关部门的应急救援救助提供决策支持.本文提出的方法能够为其他地区的相关研究提供方法借鉴.
Optimization of the supply and demand allocation and distribution path of food supplies under flood scenarios:A case study in Fengxian District,Shanghai
The supply and demand allocation and logistics optimization of emergency materials are important support for emergency materials management and decision-makings.This study proposes a supply-demand analysis based material supply point allocation method,which on the basis of the optimal supply and demand allocation model.This method takes into account the constraint condition that the market reserve point must simultaneously supply both the affected and original demand points with supportive materials.Compared to traditional methods,this approach further improves the rationality and accuracy of material supply and demand analysis.Based on the allocation of material supply points,a method for optimizing the emergency material distribution path under flood scenarios is further developed.This method is based on real road networks,using"Degree""Squares Clustering Coefficient"and"Road Design Daily Traffic Volume"to evaluate the reliabil-ity of road sections,and fully considers the impact of the flood disaster on the road travel time.It aims to achieve the shortest path travel time and the highest path reliability,using heuristic algorithms to solve the op-timal path.A case study was conducted in Fengxian District,Shanghai,China.Through comparative analysis of multiple scheme scenarios of collaborative supply between the market and government,it was found that the G scheme(100%government supply)required a longer distribution time and resulted in a higher overall time cost,which could lead to the timeout situation for emergency response missions.The S plan(100%market sup-ply)had a lower delivery efficiency and was prone to waste of human and transportation resources.However,the S1500 scheme(the market supplies the shelters within the 1 500 m coverage range and the government sup-plies the remaining shelters)was a collaborative supply scheme that was suitable for all 3 types of materials(water,rice,milk(infant formula))in the case study.The research results can provide decision supporting for emergency rescue and relief efforts of relevant departments in the study area.The methods proposed in this pa-per can provide methodological references for related studies in other regions.

emergency food materialsallocation of supply and demanddistribution path optimizationcol-laborative supply of emergency materialsflood disaster

李亚琴、於家、周泱、吴航星、张敏、温家洪

展开 >

上海师范大学环境与地理科学学院,上海 200234

上海师范大学"数字人文资源建设与研究"重点创新团队,上海 200234

食品类应急物资 供需分配 配送路径优化 应急物资协同供应 洪涝灾害

国家自然科学基金项目

72074151

2024

地理科学
中国科学院 东北地理与农业生态研究所

地理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.117
ISSN:1000-0690
年,卷(期):2024.44(4)
  • 8