Spatial evolution and impact mechanism of airline network in the South China Sea Rim Region
The South China Sea Rim region is the anchor of China's"21st Century Maritime Silk Road"initi-ative.It is of great significance to clarify the regional aviation connectivity and its development mechanism to promote economic and trade cooperation among countries.To this end,this paper attempts to describe the spa-tial evolution of the regional airline network around the South China Sea and reveal its self-organization devel-opment mechanism by constructing an aviation connectivity index,using the dominant flow and TERGM mod-els.The results are as follows:First,the aviation hub hierarchy in the South China Sea Rim region maintains a basic stability and a certain degree of mutation.The capitals of ASEAN countries with Singapore,Kuala Lum-pur,Jakarta,Bangkok,and Manila as the core,as well as Hong Kong,Guangzhou and other cities are the avi-ation hubs of the South China Sea Rim region.Second,the connection within the South China Sea Rim region is stable in the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand triangle,and it is spreading to the coastal cities of China and the Philippines in the east.The hub-and-spoke organization presents a multi-center evolution trend,following the law of regional agglomeration.Finally,the closed ternary structure has a positive effect on the air connection,the air connection of non-core cities expands rapidly,and the low-level nodes show a trend of active expansion in the process of network evolution.The urban economic development,city size,institution,culture and co-operation events all have positive impacts on air passenger transport enhancement,while geographical distance and the conflict events have a negative impact on air connections,and the overall network presents a gradual development trend.
the South China Sea Rim regionairline networkcity connectivitytemporal exponential random graph model(TERGM)
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
