Structure and destination choices of out-migrants from Northeast China:Based on long-term comparative analysis of census data
Based on the data of the national censuses and 1％population sampling surveys from 1990 to 2020,this study investigates the characteristics and dynamic changes of the amount,source and destination selection of population outflow in the three northeastern provinces,namely Heilongjiang,Jilin,and Liaoning,from the perspective of structural and comparative analysis.The results show that population loss in the three northeast-ern provinces is a long-term phenomenon which could be dated back to the 1990s.However,the intensity of the population outflow in Northeast China is weaker than other regions with population loss such as central and western provinces according to the outflow amount and rate.The major cause of long-lasting population loss for Northeast China is not the huge amount of population outflow,but the combined effects of the low popula-tion inflow rate,the high outflow rate of registered residents,and the simultaneous outflow of urban and rural population.Compared with other provinces with population outflow such as Guizhou,Sichuan,Henan,and An-hui,the destinations of outflowed population from Northeast China are more diversified and decentralized.Economic factors are the common leading factors for the destination choice of the outflow population from Northeast China and other provinces.The outflow population from Northeast China prefer places that are geo-graphically closer and have high-quality employment and public services,but no obvious evidence was found for their salient climate preference as previous studies claimed.The permanence and comprehensiveness of the lack of regional population attraction in Northeast China indicate that the regional governments not only should take measures to delay the outflow of population as much as possible,but also should actively explore new paths of high-quality development for better coping with population loss.
population lossstructural changedestination choice of migrantsregional comparative studyNortheast China
万方数据
