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白洋淀流域水域空间格局变化及维持机制

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本文基于VIC(Variable Infiltration Capacity)水文模型,还原了白洋淀天然入淀径流量(即不受大坝干扰情境),结合实际入淀水量的组成,探究了白洋淀入淀径流量衰减过程、淀区水量维持变化以及流域陆地水储量的响应.研究结果表明:①白洋淀年均总入淀水量在天然状况下为23.79×108 m3,实际仅为8.59×108 m3,且总入淀水量呈减少趋势,2000年后流域内外调水成为入淀水量的重要组成部分;②模拟天然状况中,上游径流量能够维持淀区耗水量,在实际状况中,1960-1979年径流量基本能满足淀区耗水量需求,1980-1997年淀区出现长时间水量赤字,1998-2016年淀区耗水主要靠上游水库、黄河等流域内外调水补给;③白洋淀流域陆地水储量显著下降,西南流域下降趋势大于东北流域.白洋淀流域水资源减少,淀区来水与耗水失衡,且过度依赖人工调配水,增加了白洋淀流域水资源应对未来气候变化的不确定性.尤其在雄安新区建设背景下,实现淀区水生态保护与恢复目标面临更多挑战.
Shift of water bodies pattern and its maintenance mechanism in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin,China
Influenced by climate changes and anthropogenic activities,river discharge into Baiyangdian Lake has decreased dramatically,which has profoundly changed the spatial distribution pattern of water bodies in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin.The shift of water body pattern and its maintenance mechanism still remain un-certainty.This study simulated natural streamflow using VIC model,which was compared with actual ob-served streamflow to explain the streamflow reduction pattern,and distribution pattern of water bodies were also explored using GRACE data in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin,China.The results showed that:1)The aver-age annual inflow to Baiyangdian Lake was 23.79xl08m3 for the natural scenario,while it was only 8.59 × l08m3 for the actual scenario and showed a decreasing trend;2)The upstream river discharge may be meet the water consumption of Baiyangdian Lake for the natural scenario.Actually,the river discharge could meet the water con-sumption of the lake only in 1960-1979,and the lake had a long-term water deficit in 1980-1997,and was mainly recharged by an ecological water supply project in 1998-2016;3)Terrestrial water storage in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin decreased significantly,and the decrease was greater in the southwestern basin than in the northeastern basin.Reduced water resources,an imbalance between water supply and consumption of Baiyangdian Lake,and over-reli-ance on artificial water allocation increase the water resource risk in the Baiyangdian Lake Basin.In particular,imple-menting the Xiong'an New Area Project has brought additional challenges to securing water resources in a chan-ging climate,especially in water resource management and regulation.

VIC modelriver dischargeterrestrial water storage variationthe Xiong'an New Areathe Baiy-angdian Lake Basin

李苗、周家亮、杨薇、严登华、刘强、梁丽乔、王烜、李春晖

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北京师范大学环境学院水环境模拟国家重点实验室,北京 100875

北京师范大学环境学院教育部水沙科学重点实验室,北京 100875

中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京 100038

中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所,北京 100038

中国科学院青藏高原研究所青藏高原地球系统与资源环境重点实验室,北京 100101

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VIC水文模型 河流径流量 陆地水储量变化 雄安新区 白洋淀流域

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目

4207112942271141

2024

地理科学
中国科学院 东北地理与农业生态研究所

地理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.117
ISSN:1000-0690
年,卷(期):2024.44(6)
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