Quantitative simulation and verification of the evolution law of financial sustainable development ability of Chinese urban agglomerations
The formation and development process of urban agglomeration is also accompanied by the evolu-tion process of financial sustainable development ability of urban agglomeration,which is embodied in the"dynamic game"between economic development and financial transfer payment share among cities,and the financial sustainable development ability of urban agglomeration shows an evolutionary trend of wave climb-ing,showing an irregular wave climbing curve in time series.Firstly,this paper analyzes the basic principles of the evolution law of the sustainable financial development ability of urban agglomeration,and then models the geometric expression of the evolution law of urban agglomeration finance.Then,by constructing the evalu-ation index system of financial sustainable development ability of urban agglomerations,the scores of finan-cial sustainable development ability of each Chinese urban agglomeration,the cities under its jurisdiction and the whole urban agglomeration are calculated by using entropy TOPSIS method.Then use ARCGIS10.2 to make a global spatial analysis of the financial sustainable development ability of different urban agglomera-tions and cities within urban agglomerations;The calculation method of game intensity and game threshold of financial transfer payment in urban agglomeration is established.Finally,we use the simulation method to fit and verify the evolution law of the financial sustainable development ability of China's urban agglomerations,and then explore the financial sustainable development path of China's urban agglomerations.Through the above research,the following basic conclusions are drawn:1)The financial sustainable development ability of China's urban agglomerations follows the evolution law of wave-shaped climbing;2)By 2018,the financial sustainable development ability of other urban agglomerations except the central and southern Liaoning has been improved to varying degrees,and the average climbing speed of the overall financial sustainable develop-ment ability of urban agglomerations is 5.37%.The overall financial sustainable development ability of China's urban agglomerations is mainly characterized by"high in the southeast-low in the northwest",and the high-quality areas gradually spread from national urban agglomerations to regional urban agglomerations and re-gional urban agglomerations.3)The game intensity of financial transfer payment among cities in urban ag-glomerations is increasing,but there are limitations of game thresholds,among which the game thresholds of national urban agglomerations,regional urban agglomerations and regional urban agglomerations are 406,59 and 23,respectively.The game thresholds and game intensity between cities in national urban agglomerations are much higher than those of other two levels of urban agglomerations.4)The climbing function curve of fin-ancial sustainable development ability of urban agglomerations has been verified by practice,and the function model of evolution law of financial sustainable development ability of urban agglomerations can be used to analyze and predict the future financial sustainable development ability law of Chinese urban agglomerations.Then,based on the above research conclusions,this paper puts forward four policy suggestions:Policy incent-ives,government functions,financial management and macro-control.
urban agglomerationfinancial sustainable development abilityentropy weight TOPSISfunc-tion fitting
万方数据
维普
