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基于GTWR模型的黄河流域城乡融合发展时空分异与驱动机制

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本文基于城乡融合发展内涵,以黄河流域 78个地级市为案例研究区域,从 5个维度科学构建了黄河流域城乡融合发展评价指标体系,并采用熵值法、空间自相关分析、时空地理加权回归模型等多种计量方法综合研究了2011―2021年黄河流域城乡融合发展的时空分异特征与驱动机制.结果如下:① 黄河流域城乡融合发展水平总体呈上升趋势,低水平区域不断减少,高水平区域持续增加.城乡融合水平下游地区整体高于中、上游地区,且大致呈现由西向东递增的格局;② 黄河流域城乡融合发展水平空间集聚特征显著,整体存在较为明显的空间依存关系,高值区主要集中分布在黄河流域东部、北部地区;③ 黄河流域城乡融合发展是众多因素的多尺度与多时空交互融合发展的结果,且各驱动因素均具有明显的时空差异,在空间异质性方面呈现出空间带状或片状分布规律.
Spatio-temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of urban-rural integ-rated development in the Yellow River Basin based on GTWR model
Based on the connotation of urban-rural integrated development,78 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin were taken as the case study areas,the evaluation index system of urban-rural integrated development in the Yellow River Basin was scientifically constructed from 5 dimensions,and multiple meas-urement methods were used to comprehensively study the spatio-temporal differentiation and driving mechan-ism of urban-rural integrated development in the Yellow River Basin in 2011-2021.The results are obtained as fol-lows:1)The level of urban-rural integration in the Yellow River Basin is generally on an upward trend,with low-level areas decreasing and high-level areas continuing to increase.The level of urban-rural integration in the downstream areas is generally higher than that in the middle and upstream areas,and generally shows a pattern of increasing from west to east;2)Spatial clustering characteristics are significant,the overall existence of a more obvious spatial dependence,high value areas are mainly concentrated in the eastern and northern areas of the Yellow River Basin;3)The integrated development of urban and rural areas is the result of multi-scale and multi-factor interactive and integrated development driven by the interaction of many factors,and the driving factors have obvious spatial and temporal differences,showing spatial heterogeneity in spatial bands or pieces of the distribution pattern.

urban-rural integrationspatial and temporal geographic weighted regressionthe Yellow River Basin

郭付友、李睿、尹鹏、孙永胜

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曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276800

鲁东大学商学院,山东 烟台 264025

河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心暨黄河文明省部共建协同创新中心,河南 开封 475001

城乡融合 时空地理加权回归 黄河流域

2024

地理科学
中国科学院 东北地理与农业生态研究所

地理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.117
ISSN:1000-0690
年,卷(期):2024.44(12)