首页|新型农业经营主体生存动态演化的时空格局及其影响因素

新型农业经营主体生存动态演化的时空格局及其影响因素

扫码查看
研判新型农业经营主体发展的外部环境、内生动力和演化趋势,增强农业农村发展新动能,是关系中国农业农村现代化的重大战略.论文基于2000-2022年农业农村部公布的农业产业化国家重点龙头企业、全国农民合作社和家庭农场典型案例名单以及中国农业企业黄页中的新型农业经营主体相关数据,通过空间计量分析和生存分析,探究其生存的空间格局及其影响因素.研究发现:①新型农业经营主体进入和退出农业市场的数量呈现倒"U"型曲线,实存数量呈逐渐上升的状态.②新型农业经营主体的生存时间在区域间形成差异化格局,高—高集聚区主要集中在中东部地区.③"个体特征和创新能力"因素对新型农业经营主体生存时间有正向影响,"阶段演变"对其生存时间有负向影响.④随着成立阶段的推移,新型农业经营主体资产规模和关联经济组织数量对其生存时间的影响作用逐渐下降,地理区域因素影响作用也逐渐减弱.研究结论可为新型农业经营主体生存分析提供实证依据,为分析其发展演化的地理特征提供借鉴参考.
Spatial and temporal patterns of the dynamic evolution of the survival of new agricultural business entities and influencing factors
Examining the external environment,endogenous driving forces,and trend of development of new agricultural business entities,and enhancing the new momentum of agricultural and rural development,have strategic significance for the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in China.However,most studies only focus on the stock data of new agricultural business entities at a certain point in time,and do not consider the survival and changes of various new agricultural business entities,nor do they consider the survival differences of new agricultural business entities in different regions.Based on the list of national key leading enterprises of agricultural industrialization,typical national cases of farmers'cooperatives and family farms published by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development from 2000 to 2022,and the data related to new agricultural business entities from the Yellow Pages of China's Agricultural Enterprises,a research framework on the influencing factors of the survival of new agricultural business entities was established from the perspective of"individual characteristics-stage of evolution-innovation ability"using spatial econometric analysis and survival analysis.This study examined the spatial distribution characteristics of the survival and development of new agricultural business entities,analyzed the influencing factors of regional development differences,and optimized the development strategies and found that:1)The entry and exit of new agricultural business entities showed an inverted U-shaped curve,and the actual number of existing entities gradually increased.2)The survival time of new agricultural business entities differed between regions,and the high-high agglomeration areas were mainly concentrated in the central and eastern regions.3)Individual characteristics and innovation ability had a positive impact on the survival time of new agricultural business entities,and the stage of evolution had a negative impact.4)With the passage of time,the influence of the scale of assets and the number of associated economic organizations of the new agricultural business entities on their survival time gradually decreased,and the influence of geographical factors gradually weakened as well.This study provides an empirical basis for the survival analysis of new agricultural business entities and a reference for studying the geographical characteristics of their development and evolution.

new agricultural business entitiestimne of survivaltiming patternstage evolution

麦强盛、李乐

展开 >

西南林业大学会计学院,昆明 650233

西南林业大学经济管理学院,昆明 650233

新型农业经营主体 生存时间 时序格局 阶段演变

云南省省院省校教育合作人文社科项目

SYSX202209

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
  • 55