首页|手机信令数据的出行测度准确性分析——基于与居民出行调查数据的比较

手机信令数据的出行测度准确性分析——基于与居民出行调查数据的比较

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传统的居民出行调查是城市交通规划的基础数据,是城市居民出行行为的最权威记录.随着信息技术发展,以手机信令数据为代表的位置大数据,在时空行为研究领域展现出巨大的潜力.然而,手机信令数据能否取代出行调查数据却存在较大的争议.焦点在于:手机信令数据的出行准确性难以评估,其识别结果在多大程度上可信、能否较为准确地测度居民出行特征等问题有待回答.论文利用上海居民出行调查数据及时间相近的手机信令数据,比较两类数据在出行强度、出行时间分布、出行空间分布、出行目的等出行特征的差异,并分析归纳两类数据产生偏差的程度及原因.研究揭示手机信令数据在描述出行人口人均出行次数及街道以上尺度的出行OD分布等方面准确度较高,在出行时耗、通勤出行比例方面准确度较低.研究认为手机信令数据产生偏差的原因主要由手机信令数据位置记录不完整等数据质量、停留时间阈值、基站密度不均与空间阈值的影响,以及职住地识别偏差引起.研究认为可通过样本筛选、数据链修复、识别方法改进等手段提高手机信令数据识别的精度.
Accuracy analysis of mobile signaling data in measuring travel indices:Based on the comparison with household travel survey
Traditional household travel survey provides the basic data for urban traffic planning and the most authoritative record of urban residents'travel behaviors.With the development of information technology,position data represented by mobile signaling data have shown great potential in the field of temporal-spatial behavior research.However,whether the mobile signaling data can replace the travel survey data is controversial because the travel data accuracy of mobile signaling data is difficult to assess.How credible the identification results are and whether the travel characteristics of residents can be accurately measured remains to be answered.In this study,the travel survey data of Shanghai residents and mobile signaling data with similar dates were used to compare the differences in intensity,time,spatial distribution,purpose,and other characteristics of travels.This study also analyzed the degree of deviation and summarized the causes of errors.The research revealed that the mobile signaling data are more accurate in describing the per capita travel times of the travel population and the travel origin-destination(OD)distribution at the scale above the street,but less accurate in describing the travel time distribution and travel purposes.Our research suggests that the main reasons for the deviation in mobile phone data are the impact of incomplete location records on data quality,the impact of retention time thresholds,spatial thresholds,and home and workplace identification.Due to the above systematic errors,mobile signaling data cannot replace household travel survey data.Nevertheless,the accuracy of mobile signaling data analysis can be improved by sample screening,trip chain data recovery,and improvement of identification methods.

travel indicestrip chaintrip distancedeviationcorrectionShanghai

王德、韩滨鹂、张天然、游智敏、李心恬

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同济大学建筑与城市规划学院,上海 200092

成都市青白江区委社会工作部,成都 610300

上海市城市规划设计研究院,上海 200040

出行指标 出行链 出行距离 偏差 校核 上海

国家自然科学基金

52378069

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(5)