首页|人口收缩背景下区域吸引力测度及其优化路径——以江苏省乡镇尺度为例

人口收缩背景下区域吸引力测度及其优化路径——以江苏省乡镇尺度为例

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科学系统地识别乡镇吸引力的内在逻辑,进而制定相应的乡镇吸引力优化路径,对破解区域人口收缩困境、推动乡村振兴和城乡融合发展具有重要意义。论文以江苏省为例,从"经济—社会—生态"三维视角剖析了乡镇吸引力的内涵,以此为基础从经济、社会、生态三方面构建了乡镇吸引力的评价指标体系,运用空间统计分析方法识别了江苏省1100个乡镇(街道)单元吸引力的空间结构和地域类型。结果表明:①江苏省乡镇经济吸引力与社会吸引力分布格局基本吻合,均呈现"南高北低"的梯度现象;乡镇生态吸引力呈现不均衡的空间格局,与其他维度的乡镇吸引力存在空间异质性。总体上,江苏省乡镇吸引力空间分布集中度高,呈现"苏南—苏中—苏北"分布的梯度差异格局。②江苏省乡镇吸引力指数具有较强的空间自相关性,乡镇吸引力冷热点极化现象明显,表现出"南热北冷"的空间分布特征。③基于乡镇吸引力冷热点分布图以及乡镇吸引力空间分布特征,可将江苏省乡镇划分为优质发展先行区、均衡协同提升区、转型发展滞后区三种地域类型,进而提出了不同类型乡镇吸引力的优化路径,可为推进区域协调发展提供科学依据。
Measurement and optimization paths of regional attraction under the background of population shrinkage:Taking the townships of Jiangsu Province as an example
Identifying the intrinsic logic of township attraction and formulating corresponding measures for optimizing township attraction in a systematic and scientific manner is crucial for addressing the dilemma of population shrinkage,promoting rural revitalization,and facilitating urban-rural integration.Taking Jiangsu Province as an example,this study analyzed the connotation of township attraction from the perspectives of economy,society,and ecology.Based on this,an evaluation indicator system for township attraction was constructed from the aspects of economy,society,and ecology.By utilizing spatial statistical analysis methods,the spatial structure and regional types of the attraction of 1100 townships(street units)in Jiangsu Province were identified.The results showed that:1)The distribution patterns of economic attraction and social attraction of townships in Jiangsu Province basically coincide and show a gradient of high to low from the south to the north.The spatial pattern of ecological attraction in townships is uneven and exhibits spatial heterogeneity compared to the other two dimensions of township attraction.Overall,the spatial distribution of township attraction in Jiangsu Province is highly concentrated,showing a gradient from south Jiangsu-central Jiangsu-north Jiangsu.2)The township attraction index in Jiangsu Province shows a strong spatial autocorrelation,and there is a clear polarization of hot spots and cold spots of township attraction,with a spatial distribution characteristic of hot in the south and cold in the north.3)Based on the distribution map of hot spots and cold spots of township attraction and the spatial distribution characteristics of township attraction,the townships in Jiangsu Province can be divided into three types:high-quality development leading area,balanced and coordinated promotion area,and transformation and development lagging area.Furthermore,we proposed optimization paths for the different types of township attraction areas,aiming to provide a scientific basis for promoting regional coordinated development.

population shrinkagetownship attractionrural regional systemrural revitalizationurban-rural integration

袁紫怡、戈大专、孙攀、汤爽爽、黎雅悦

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南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,南京 210023

人口收缩 乡镇吸引力 乡村地域系统 乡村振兴 城乡融合

国家自然科学基金项目江苏省研究生科研创新计划项目

42271205KYCX24_1769

2024

地理科学进展
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会

地理科学进展

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:2.458
ISSN:1007-6301
年,卷(期):2024.43(6)
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